2021 AT&T Byron Nelson Sleepers and Longshot Picks


Will Zalatoris admires a tee shot

Will Zalatoris watches his drive down the eighth fairway through the first spherical of the RBC Heritage golf event in Hilton Head Island, S.C., Thursday, April 15, 2021. (AP Photograph/Stephen B. Morton)

  • The AT&T Byron Nelson tees off Thursday (Might thirteenth) at TPC Craig Ranch, in McKinney, TX
  • Will Zalatoris ranks first on this area in strokes gained method, and third in strokes gained tee-2-green over his previous 50 rounds
  • Learn beneath for evaluation of the occasion and our favourite sleepers and longshot performs

We’ve reached the penultimate occasion earlier than the PGA Championship, as golfers head to TPC Craig Ranch, in McKinney, Texas this week for the AT&T Byron Nelson. It will mark the primary PGA Tour occasion ever held on the course, nevertheless TPC Craig Ranch did host the Korn Ferry Tour Championship in 2008 and 2012.

A handful of gamers who performed in these tournaments will likely be within the area this week, whereas one former golfer turned broadcaster who performed right here in 2008, mentioned on Sunday the fellows are going to “rip it up”. Meaning we’re in for a birdie celebration, which isn’t stunning since all the Par-5’s are reachable in two, whereas one and probably even two of the Par-4’s will likely be driveable.

Because of this, we have to goal gamers who can rack up birdies in bunches, and Will Zalatoris actually suits that invoice.

2021 AT&T Byron Nelson Odds

Golfer Odds to Win Prime-10 Odds Prime-20 Odds
Will Zalatoris +2800 +250 +110
Marc Leishman +3500 +300 +138
Thomas Pieters +7500 +550 +175
Doug Ghim +10000 +1100 +275

Odds as of  Might tenth at DraftKings and Bet365.

Ignore Final Week’s Missed Lower

Positive Zalatoris MC’d final week, however he wasn’t the one outstanding identify to take action. Jon Rahm, Patrick Cantlay and Tony Finau to call a couple of, all did not make the weekend at a really troublesome Quail Hole membership. Now, the Texan is again in his dwelling state, and his stats have been off the charts since he began taking part in commonly on Tour.

He’s completed t-10 or higher in six of his final 16 occasions, with a runner-up end on the Masters and a sixth place outcome on the U.S. Open on his resume. Over his previous 50 rounds, he ranks first on this area in strokes gained method, third in strokes gained tee-2-green, and eleventh in birdie or higher share.

Will Zalatoris Strokes Gained Ranks – Final 50 Rounds

third twenty eighth 1st sixtieth ninetieth

His odds range relying on which sportsbook you utilize so be sure to buy round. +2800 is one of the best value I’ve seen to this point, however in gentle of the Dustin Johnson withdrawal, and the steam he’s certain to choose up, that quantity received’t final lengthy.

Choose: Will Zalatoris to Win Outright (+2800)

Leishman Loves Texas

What’s it about Aussies in Texas? Australians at all times appear to play effectively within the Lone Star state, and Marc Leishman isn’t any exception. He’s completed 2nd and thirteenth in his previous two begins at this occasion, and whereas these tournaments have been held at a unique Texas course, he additionally owns a number of top-25 finishes at Colonial Nation Membership in Fort Value.

Leishman is contemporary off a victory on the Zurich Basic staff occasion with countryman Cam Smith, and previous to that he completed fifth on the Masters. He ranks eleventh on this area in strokes gained method over his previous 24 rounds, eleventh in birdie or higher share, and fourth in proximity from past 200 yards, one of many key iron ranges for this week.

Choose: Marc Leishman to Win Outright (+3500)

Pieters Presents Critical Potential

Subsequent up, is Thomas Pieters, who has been wonderful on the PGA Tour in his solely three begins during the last eight months. He’s racked up outcomes of thirteenth, fifteenth and twenty third on this aspect of the pond, whereas posting finishes of thirteenth and tenth in his previous two Euro Tour begins.

Pieters ranks seventeenth on this area over the previous 24 rounds in strokes gained tee-2-green, twenty first in strokes gained method, and twenty eighth in birdie or higher share.

Thomas Pieters Prime-10 End (+550)

Ghim’s T2G Sport Is Gold

Final however not least, is former College of Texas Longhorn Doug Ghim. The 25-year-old is a statistical darling, and if he can ever determine the flat stick, high tier finishes are going to be a typical incidence.

Ghim ranks third within the area over the previous 24 rounds in strokes gained method, fourth in strokes gained tee-2-green, and first in proximity between 175-200 yards, one other key iron vary this week. He’s gained at the very least 5 strokes along with his ball hanging in every of his previous three begins, however has been torpedoed by his putter. The previous primary ranked novice has misplaced a mixed 12.8 strokes on the greens over that very same time-frame, but when he can hover round impartial along with his putter this week, look out.

Choose: Doug Ghim Prime-20 End (+275)

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