2021 Wells Fargo Championship Sleepers and Longshot Picks


Joaquin Niemann strikes an iron

Joaquin Niemann, of Chile, watches his tee shot on the second gap in the course of the remaining spherical of the Valspar Championship golf match, Sunday, Might 2, 2021, in Palm Harbor, Fla. (AP Photograph/Phelan M. Ebenhack)

  • The Wells Fargo Championship tees off Thursday (Might sixth) on the Quail Hole Membership in Charlotte, North Carolina
  • Joaquin Niemann has gained at the least 1.2 strokes ball placing in 10 of his previous 11 measured occasions
  • Learn beneath for evaluation of the occasion and our favourite sleepers and longshot performs

10 of the top-15 golfers on this planet are headed to Charlotte, North Carolina this week for the Wells Fargo Championship at Quail Hole.

This is among the most demanding programs of the tee that gamers will see all season on the PGA Tour, with eight Par 4s measuring over 450 yards, two of which are available north of 500 yards. Size and accuracy off the tee are at a premium at this monitor, making strokes gained off the tee and driving distance two of the most important elements to have a look at when filling out our betting card. One participant who checks the field in each statistics is Joaquin Niemann, who’s recent off an eighth place end final week on the Valspar.

2021 Wells Fargo Championship Odds

Golfer Odds to Win Prime-10 Odds Prime-20 Odds
Joaquin Niemann +3600 +320 +150
Jason Day +6000 +500 +225
Keegan Bradley +7000 +550 +250
Joel Dahmen +13000 +1100 +500

Odds as of  Might third at DraftKings and FanDuel.

Joaquin the Dream

Relating to demanding off the tee programs like Quail Hole, few gamers have the chops to place themselves in higher place than Niemann. The 22-year-old has gained strokes ball placing in 10 of his previous 11 measured occasions, and final week was the primary time he didn’t acquire strokes off the tee in his previous 16 begins.

Zooming out to the previous 50 rounds, Niemann ranks eighth on this discipline in driving distance, and ninth in strokes gained off the tee. He’s gained on method in 4 straight measured occasions, whereas his placing, which was as soon as thought-about a weak point, is on fireplace. He’s gained 12.5 strokes on the greens over his previous three measured tournaments, which is fifth greatest on this discipline over that stretch.

Choose: Joaquin Niemann to Win Outright (+3600)

Day Dominates Quail Hole

Our subsequent goal is Jason Day, who completely loves this monitor. The Aussie has completed contained in the top-25 in every of his previous three visits, together with a win right here in 2018, and a ninth place end in 2017 when Quail Hole hosted the PGA Championship.

At all times make sure that to buy round for the perfect worth as a result of Day’s odds range wildly this week. He’s as quick as 40-1 at some on-line sportsbooks, however at others, might be discovered at +6000. I don’t learn about you, however I’ll by no means flip down an additional 20 factors.

As for Day’s sport, previous to a missed reduce on the Masters, he completed inside he top-35 in 4 straight begins, flashing spectacular ball placing within the course of. He gained 7 strokes ball placing on the Gamers, and gained off the tee on the API, WGC on the Concession and AT&T Promenade-Am, the ladder two leading to a pair of top-18 finishes.

The one factor that stopped him from a high tier end at Sawgrass was his placing, as he misplaced 7.7 strokes on the inexperienced. That was his single worst placing efficiency since 2010, and we should always anticipate his historically sturdy quick sport to return this week.

Choose: Jason Day Prime-10 End (+500)

Bradley On Fireplace

Keegan Bradley narrowly missed profitable for the primary time since 2018 final week on the Valspar, and his latest type is just too good to cease backing now. Bradley gained a ridiculous 12.9 strokes tee-2-green at Copperhead, together with 6.1 strokes on method. He’s gained along with his irons in 17 straight tournaments, and ranks 18th in strokes gained off the tee over his previous 50 rounds.

He ranks first within the discipline in method pictures between 175-200 yards, and thirteenth in proximity from 200+ yards. These two ranges are the place the vast majority of method pictures will come from this week, so anticipate one other excessive end for Bradley.

Choose: Keegan Bradley Prime-10 End (+550)

Don’t Sleep On Dahmen

Final however not least, is Joel Dahmen. He’s just one begin faraway from his first PGA Tour victory, and has performed exceptionally at Quail Hole just lately.

Dahmen completed second in 2019, and sixteenth in 2018, and whereas he’s undoubtedly not thought-about a bomber, he tends to play lengthy, robust tracks very effectively. He’s gained strokes off the tee in six straight measured occasions, and ranks thirty seventh on this discipline in strokes gained off the tee over his previous 50 rounds.

Choose: Joel Dahmen Prime-20 End (+500)

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