Alexander Zverev vs Dominic Thiem Odds & Prediction

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Alexander Zverev vs Dominic Thiem

Germany’s Alexander Zverev returns the ball to Spain’s Rafael Nadal throughout their match on the Mutua Madrid Open tennis event in Madrid, Spain, Friday, Could 7, 2021. (AP Photograph/Bernat Armangue)

  • No. 5 seed Alexander Zverev defeated Rafael Nadal in straight units Friday on the Madrid Open
  • No. 3 seed Dominic Thiem withstood an early problem from John Isner to prevail in three units
  • The 2 will meet for the primary time for the reason that 2020 US Open remaining Saturday, Could 8 (10:00 am EDT)

For the third straight time – however the first time on clay – Alexander Zverev defeated Rafael Nadal in straight units Friday.

And so, he and Dominic Thiem will meet on Saturday in what might be the de facto remaining on the Madrid Open, given who stays within the different half of the draw.

Alexander Zverev vs Dominic Thiem Odds

Participant Unfold Moneyline Whole at Draftkings
[5] Alexander Zverev (GER) -1.5 (-120) -150 O 22.5 (-114)
[3] Dominic Thiem (AUT) +1.5 (-105) +123 U 22.5 (-110)

Odds as of Could 7

The highest two pre-tournament favorites, Nadal and Stefanos Tsitsipas, are actually out.

Thiem was subsequent at +700. And out of the blue, Zverev (at +2000) is wanting fairly good.

Thiem Outlasts a Hobbled Isner

At first, Thiem couldn’t get a deal with on how shortly his serve was coming again on Friday, as John Isner was stepping in and taking massive cuts at it.

As nicely, Thiem’s kick serve is by definition much less efficient on an opponent who’s 6-10.

However the Austrian withstood the primary set. And ultimately, Isner (who had already pulled out of Rome subsequent week) began displaying indicators of a hip subject.

Isner was holding serve and hoping for the third-set tiebreak that had determined his two matches in opposition to No. 9 seed Roberto Bautista Agut and No. 6 Andrey Rublev.

He didn’t fairly get there, shedding 3-6, 6-3, 6-4.

Zverev Upsets the Nice Nadal

If 2018 Madrid champion Zverev was down the checklist within the pre-tourney odds, it was as a result of his latest kind had been poor.

However that wasn’t attributable to a hunch. An elbow subject had hampered the German. Clearly, by his serve velocity this week, that has been resolved.

In the meantime, Nadal actually struggled Friday.  He didn’t hit a single forehand winner within the first set.

“Within the 4-2 (recreation) serving for 5-2, I did a catastrophe. One other dangerous recreation with (the rating) 30-love. After all, enjoying in opposition to top-of-the-line gamers of the world, below this circumstances, with this velocity of the courtroom, may be very tough to nonetheless (really feel) assured,” Nadal mentioned.

The second set of the 6-4, 6-4 defeat wasn’t significantly better.

Alexander Zverev vs Dominic Thiem Head-to-Head

24 (April 20, 1997) Age 27 (Sept. 3, 1993)
Hamburg, Germany Birthplace Lichtenworth, Austria
6-6 Top 6-1
14 Profession ATP Singles Titles 17
No. 3 (Nov. 6, 2017) Profession Excessive Rating No. 3 (March 2, 2020)
No. 6 Present Rating No. 4
$24,012,696 Profession Prize Cash $28,586,381
14-7 2021 Received/Loss file 8-4
2 Profession Head-to-Head 8

Chapter 11 within the Thiem-Zverev Rivalry

These two have had some good matches and a few one-sided ones.

However their most up-to-date one little question stays indelibly etched in each their recollections.

Zverev was up two units to none of their 2020 US Open remaining final September.

After which he was up 5-3 within the fifth set. He served for it and was damaged. He needed to break to remain within the match (and did).

However he double-faulted twice within the deciding tiebreak.

The match had every part, good and dangerous.

And it was Thiem’s first profession Grand Slam title.

Alexander Zverev vs Dominic Thiem Match Historical past

12 months Event Floor Rating Winner
2020 US Open (F) Outside Onerous 2-6, 4-6, 6-4, 6-3, 7-6 (6) Thiem
2020 Australian Open (SF) Outside Onerous 3-6, 6-4, 7-6 (3), 7-6 (4) Thiem
2019 ATP Tour Finals (SF) Indoor Onerous 7-5,  6-3 Thiem
2018 French Open (QF) Outside Clay 6-4, 6-2, 6-1 Thiem
2018 Madrid (F) Outside Clay 6-4, 6-4 Zverev
2017 Rotterdam (R32) Indoor Onerous 3-6, 6-3, 6-4 Thiem
2016 Beijing (R32) Outside Onerous 4-6, 6-1, 6-3 Zverev
2016 French Open (R32) Outside Clay 6-7 (4), 6-3, 6-3, 6-3 Thiem
2016 Good (F) Outside Clay 6-4, 3-6, 6-0 Thiem
2016 Munich (SF) Outside Clay 4-6, 6-2, 6-3 Thiem

Rematch of the 2018 Madrid Remaining

Thiem and Zverev met within the finals of the 2018 Madrid occasion, received by Zverev in straight units.

That was the final time he defeated the Austrian.

And but, Zverev is the slight favourite on this match – helped by the truth that he’s way more harmful within the best-of-three Masters 1000 format than the best-of-five-set Grand Slam format.

Thiem’s confidence and match toughness may have taken massive leaps this week. However he’s nonetheless not enjoying his greatest. Zverev has been enjoying near his greatest, however a lot will rely on the stability and nerviness of his second serve.

Greatest Wager: Zverev (-150) in three units (+320)


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