ATP Mutua Madrid Open – Can Rafael Nadal win title No. 6?
Rafael Nadal from Spain hits a backhand return to Gael Monfils from France throughout a Madrid Open tennis event match in Madrid, Spain, Wednesday, Could 9, 2018. Nadal received 6-3, 6-1. (AP Picture/Francisco Seco)
- Rafael Nadal is the one member of the Massive 3 to play; Novak Djokovic and Roger Federer are sitting out
- Nadal has received three of the final seven Madrid Open editions, the final one in 2017
- The one different former champion is Alexander Zverev. We break down the chances and decide a winner
Rafael Nadal has extra journeys to the Madrid Open in his profession (17) than the following 10 odds favorites on the listing – mixed (12). And he’s received it 5 instances.
However does that give him an categorical go to the trophy ceremony Sunday?
Not so quick.
ATP Madrid Open Odds
|Seed||Participant||Odds at DraftKings|
|||Rafael Nadal (ESP)||-125|
|||Stefanos Tsitsipas (GRE)||+600|
|||Dominic Thiem (AUT)||+700|
|||Andrey Rublev (RUS)||+1400|
|–||Aslan Karatsev (RUS)||+2000|
|||Daniil Medvedev (RUS)||+2000|
|||Jannik Sinner (ITA)||+2000|
|||Alexander Zverev (GER)||+2000|
|–||Casper Ruud (NOR)||+3300|
|||Félix Auger-Aliassime (CAN)||+5000|
|||Matteo Berrettini (ITA)||+5000|
|||Pablo Carreño Busta (ESP)||+5000|
|||Diego Schwartzman (ARG)||+5000|
|||Denis Shapovalov (CAN)||+6600|
|||Roberto Bautista Agut (ESP)||+8000|
|||Cristian Garin (CHI)||+15000|
|–||Alejandro Davidovich Fokina (ESP)||+25000|
Odds as of Could 1
Nadal a Shaky Favourite in Madrid
While you have a look at the title totals the king of clay has amassed in his profession in Monte Carlo, Rome, Barcelona and the French Open, Nadal’s 5 Madrid crowns appear relatively meager compared.
He hasn’t missed the event since his debut in 2003.
However he hasn’t received it since 2017.
Madrid Altitude a Recreation Changer
The situations in Madrid are very totally different from the French Open and people different clay-court tournaments due to 2,200 ft of altitude.
Nadal doesn’t discover it notably good preparation for the last word purpose each spring, which is to win in Paris.
¿Cuál sería el hipotético camino de Nadal a la remaining?
R32. Mannarino o Alcaraz
— #MMOPEN (@MutuaMadridOpen) April 30, 2021
He’s coming in with a title in Barcelona, however with out having performed on the stage he expects of himself this spring.
Nadal’s highway to the title is as difficult because it will get. All of the younger weapons are in his half.
No Djokovic, a Rusty Thiem
It wasn’t a shock when it turned official that three-time champion Novak Djokovic would skip Madrid.
Djokovic received the final time it passed off, in 2019. However he didn’t play effectively in Monte Carlo or Belgrade this spring.
And along with his favourite, Rome, developing – in addition to a near-mandatory look at a second Belgrade event the week earlier than the French Open, he made decisions.
Novak Djokovic is not going to be taking part in within the Mutua Madrid Open.
“Sorry that I received’t be capable of journey to Madrid this yr and meet all my followers”, mentioned @DjokerNole. “It’s been two years already, fairly a very long time. Hope to see you all subsequent yr!”.
— #MMOPEN (@MutuaMadridOpen) April 28, 2021
Two-time finalist Dominic Thiem has not performed since shedding his opening match in Dubai to Lloyd Harris, greater than six weeks in the past.
There’s an ongoing foot downside. And like many, the Austrian was weary of the restrictive bubble life and taking part in earlier than empty stands.
So he comes into Madrid a giant query mark.
Many Madrid Newbies within the Draw
Expertise helps in Madrid, given the distinctive situations.
However so many gamers within the draw – high quality top-30 gamers, gamers with at the very least an outdoor shot on the title – have by no means performed it.
Making their main-draw debuts in 2021 will likely be: No. 7 Andrey Rublev, No. 10 Matteo Berrettini, No. 18 Jannik Sinner, No. 22 Cristian Garin, No. 24 Casper Ruud and No. 27 Aslan Karatsev.
ATP Madrid Open Contenders – Greatest Earlier Outcomes
|Participant||Journeys to Madrid||Greatest End result|
|Rafael Nadal||17||W (2005, ’10, ’13, ’14 & ’17)|
|Stefanos Tsitsipas||2||F 2019|
|Dominic Thiem||5||F 2017 & 2018|
|Daniil Medvedev||2||1R 2018 & 2019|
|Alexander Zverev||3||W 2018|
What About Aslan?
Karatsev is coming off a titanic victory over Djokovic on the Serb’s residence event in Belgrade.
After that three-hour, 26-minute marathon the earlier night time, he didn’t have a lot left for the ultimate the following day in opposition to Matteo Berrettini.
The 2021 #MMOpen attract full
Which match-ups catch your eye? pic.twitter.com/XnjQLHyMBk
— Tennis TV (@TennisTV) April 30, 2021
However you’ll be able to’t rule him out of a deep run in Madrid in faster situations, even with Tsitsipas in his quarter.
Earlier ATP Madrid Open Winners and Finalists
|2019|| Novak Djokovic|| Stefanos Tsitsipas|
|2018|| Alexander Zverev|| Dominic Thiem|
|2017|| Rafael Nadal|| Dominic Thiem|
|2016|| Novak Djokovic|| Andy Murray|
|2015|| Andy Murray|| Rafael Nadal|
|2014|| Rafael Nadal|| Kei Nishikori|
|2013|| Rafael Nadal|| Stan Wawrinka|
First-round Matches to Watch
Karen Khachanov (-121) vs Kei Nishikori (-103)
Their 2-2 head-to-head is pretty irrelevant because the final match was over two years in the past. And so they’ve by no means met on clay.
However Nishikori is taking part in higher than Khachanov is in the mean time, and is superb on the dust.
Martin Fucsovics (-200) vs Alexander Bublik (+160)
Bublik received their one assembly on clay and has been taking part in by. In the meantime, Fucsovics has been tending to a knee after a draining run by the winter hard-courts in Europe and the Center East.
Except he self-destructs (at all times a chance), Bublik appears like wager on this one.
Greatest Wager: Stefanos Tsitsipas (+600)
Longer shot: Aslan Karatsev (+2000)
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Stephanie will get the straight dope from the tennis insiders. On court docket, she has represented her nation internationally. A BA in journalism led to years on the MLB beat and a decade protecting tennis globally. She’s written for Postmedia, the Guardian, the New York Occasions and likewise publishes OpenCourt.ca.