Boyd Inventory Affords Upside on Buoyant LVLs, On-line Gaming


Posted on: April 28, 2021, 09:51h. 

Final up to date on: April 28, 2021, 11:17h.

Boyd Gaming (NYSE:BYD) reported better-than-expected first-quarter outcomes on Tuesday. However the true story is ongoing margin enlargement and indicators that March site visitors momentum is carrying over to April.

Boyd stock
A person walks in entrance of Boyd’s Fremont On line casino in a vacant downtown Las Vegas throughout the pandemic. Analysts are enthusiastic on the inventory. (Picture: Fox5 Las Vegas)

That may very well be an indication the Orleans operator will ship one other spherical of spectacular knowledge for the present quarter, and a few analysts are forecasting extra upside for Boyd inventory. Macquarie’s Chad Beynon charges the regional gaming operator “impartial,” however he boosted his worth goal on the identify to $77 from $62. That means upside of 11.5 % from the April 27 shut, and is properly above the consensus forecast of round $60.

Boyd’s 100% regional mannequin continues to see margin tailwinds on account of structural adjustments introduced on by COVID-19,” mentioned Beynon in a be aware to purchasers.

“First-quarter margins expanded 1,200 foundation factors over 1Q19. April outcomes have carried over from March, and resort reservations are on the highest ranges within the final 12 months.”

Las Vegas-based Boyd operates 28 gaming venues throughout 10 states, together with 11 in its residence market. In Sin Metropolis, Boyd is the biggest operator downtown, and derives a major chunk of its income from the resurgent Las Vegas locals (LVLs) phase.

Sources of Power for Boyd Inventory

Mounting indicators that Las Vegas locals are getting coronavirus vaccines and desperate to return to their favourite casinos, coupled with Boyd’s enviable perch in serving that demographic, is a catalyst for the shares. However there’s extra to the story.

Within the first quarter, LVLs and Boyd’s downtown venues mixed for 35 % of earnings earlier than curiosity, taxes, depreciation, amortization, and restructuring or lease prices (EBITDAR). The the rest derived from the operator’s casinos within the Midwest and the South. LVL margins had been the very best of the three segments, however income at midwestern and southern venues topped what was notched within the comparable interval in 2019.

Margin enlargement and income development within the LVL demographic and areas exterior Nevada can help Boyd inventory, as downtown Las Vegas stays sluggish. Macquarie’s Beynon notes the operator’s market share in that a part of town is at present 10 %, in comparison with a pre-pandemic clip of 25 %.

He expects Boyd’s downtown earnings earlier than curiosity, taxes, depreciation and amortization (EBITDA) will slide 49 % this 12 months in comparison with 2019, earlier than rising six % in 2022.

Looming On-line Catalysts

Whereas Boyd isn’t the identify many buyers consider with regards to on-line sports activities betting, the corporate has levers in that area through its 5 % possession of FanDuel – a trait some analysts consider isn’t precisely mirrored in Boyd inventory.

From an internet standpoint, Boyd’s FanDuel partnership and proprietary iGaming launch (this quarter) ought to result in optimistic EBITDA of $20 million in 2021,” mentioned Beyon.

The analyst values the operators core land-based on line casino enterprise at $59 a share, and on-line casinos and sports activities betting at $17.

He provides that as leverage decreases, Boyd might resume its dividend, which was suspended final 12 months due to the pandemic, or search out “accretive” merger and acquisition alternatives later this 12 months.

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