Casper Ruud vs Fabio Fognini Odds & Prediction – Monte-Carlo Masters Quarterfinals


Casper Ruud vs Fabio Fognini

Italy’s Fabio Fognini reacts throughout his second spherical match in opposition to Nice Britain’s Cameron Norrie, on the Mexican Open tennis match in Acapulco, Wednesday, March 17, 2021. (AP Picture/Rebecca Blackwell)

  • Fabio Fognini, the 2019 champion, hasn’t misplaced a set in Monte Carlo going into the quarterfinals
  • Casper Ruud survived a two-hour, 52-minute marathon in opposition to Pablo Carreño-Busta Thursday
  • A 2-0 head-to-head helps Ruud fee as the favourite getting into; we break down Fognini’s probabilities for the upset

Fabio Fognini is the de facto defending champion in Monte Carlo. He received in 2019, and the match wasn’t held in 2020 due to the pandemic.

He hasn’t misplaced a set coming into his quarterfinal in opposition to Norway’s Casper Ruud on Friday, April 16, not earlier than 8:00 am EDT.

Casper Ruud vs Fabio Fognini Odds

Participant Unfold Moneyline Complete at DraftKings
Casper Ruud (NOR) -1.5 (-106) -129 O 22.5 (+102)
[15] Fabio Fognini (ITA) +1.5 (-120) +104 U 22.5 (-129)

Odds as of April 15

Defending Monte Carlo Champ Fognini a Lengthy Shot

Ruud was a reasonably distant lengthy shot coming into the match, at +5000.

Fognini was even additional within the rear-view mirror, at +10000 regardless of his illustrious latest historical past.

Profitable in 2019, particularly after he shocked 11-time champion, Rafael Nadal, within the semifinals in straight units, was the largest second of the Italian’s profession.

Eight of Fognini’s 9 ATP Tour titles have come on the purple clay. So it’s a floor that has been superb to him.

However clay is also Casper Ruud’s greatest floor.

So one thing has to provide.

Casper Ruud vs Fabio Fognini Earlier Matches

Yr Match Rating Winner
2020 Hamburg (Clay – R16) 6-3, 6-3 Ruud
2020 ATP Cup (Laborious) 6-2, 6-2 Ruud

The two-0 edge Ruud holds of their head-to-head would possibly clarify why the younger Norwegian is the slight favourite on this quarterfinal.

However to place these two 2020 losses in context, Fognini had a horrible season.

He reached the fourth spherical on the Australian Open, successful five-setters within the first two rounds. However he misplaced within the first spherical of the opposite three regulation-format tournaments he performed earlier than the ATP Tour shut down.

After which, he had arthroscopic surgical procedure on each ankles in Might, through the pandemic stoppage.

Fognini returned to play solely the abbreviated clay-court season in September – once more falling within the first spherical in three out of the 4 occasions he performed.

Breakthrough in 2020, Battle in 2021

In the meantime, Ruud had his breakthrough season in 2020. And most of his success got here on the clay.

He received his first (and solely) profession title in Buenos Aires on the South American swing in February and adopted it up by reaching the Santiago closing.

After the restart, he was a semifinalist on the Masters 1000 in Rome and likewise in Hamburg, the place he beat Fognini within the second spherical.

However Ruud’s 2021 has been a bodily battle till this week.

He gave Andrey Rublev a walkover within the fourth spherical of the Australian Open due to an stomach damage. A month later within the Acapulco quarterfinals he equally gifted eventual champion Alexander Zverev with a free move, this time due to a wrist damage.

The best-ranked participant Ruud had overwhelmed coming into Monte Carlo was Jordan Thompson of Australia, at No. 49.

Casper Ruud vs Fabio Fognini Head-to-Head

22 (Dec. 22, 1998) Age 33 (Might 24, 1987)
Oslo, Norway Birthplace Sanremo, Italy
6-0 Top 5-10
1 Profession ATP Singles Titles 9
No. 24 (Feb. 22, 2021) Profession Excessive Rating No. 9 (July 5, 2019)
No. 27 Present Rating  No. 18
$2,751,917 Profession Prize Cash $15, 527,416
9-3 2021 Gained/Loss report 10-7

Ruud Drops Two Seeds en Path to Semis

This week in Monte Carlo, Ruud has been spectacular.

First, he upset No. 7 seed Diego Schwartzman, who has made a racquet change and hasn’t but discovered his groove.

Then, he outlasted No. 12 seed Pablo Carreño Busta 7-6 (4), 5-7, 7-5 within the third spherical on Thursday, in two hours and 52 minutes.

Ruud was down 2-5 within the third set earlier than he got here again.

Fognini, who moved by way of the part left vacant by No. 2 seed Daniel Medvedev’s constructive COVID-19 take a look at earlier within the week, hasn’t misplaced a set in three matches. He will probably be significantly more energizing going into Friday regardless of giving up practically a dozen years to his Norwegian opponent.

Ruud wins extra along with his legs than his virtuosity. And people legs received’t be the freshest. To say the very least.

The expertise of getting received the occasion will assist Fognini get by way of this one. So will his skill to interrupt factors open by hitting winners and making his opponent do the operating on a day his legs won’t be as cooperative as he’d like them to be.

Finest Wager: Fognini in three units (+390) 

This text comprises hyperlinks to exterior sports activities betting companies. SBD could obtain promoting income from these hyperlinks, nevertheless editorial has hand-picked every particular person hyperlink primarily based on relevance to the article, with out affect on the protection.

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