Current Kind for 2021 Kentucky Derby Prime Contenders
John Velazquez rides Genuine as they lead the pack into flip one within the 146th operating of the Kentucky Derby horse race at Churchill Downs, Saturday, Sept. 5, 2020, in Louisville, Ky. (AP Photograph/Mark Humphrey)
- Saturday’s Kentucky Derby is anticipated to start simply earlier than 7:00 pm EST
- The easiest way to select the winner is by analyzing the highest contender’s most up-to-date races
- Who has the highest kind coming into the Run for the Roses?
Generally we overthink issues. Positive coaches are going to look at each element they may encounter throughout a sport, however as a rule the crew with the most effective gamers wins. Very regularly, what we noticed yesterday, and final week, and final 12 months, is related to what will occur subsequent. There are various horse racing websites that give you a chance to wager on the Kentucky Derby. So who do you have to wager on?
Let’s look carefully on the final a number of races for the highest contenders, and see the place that leads us.
2021 Kentucky Derby Odds
|Horse||Odds at William Hill|
|Important High quality||+200|
|Rock Your World||+450|
|Sizzling Rod Charlie||+1000|
|Soup and Sandwich||+2500|
|Like The King||+3300|
Odds as of Apr 28
So much will get manufactured from the circumstances at Churchill Downs. It’s definitely true some horses just like the observe higher than others. Those that have run nicely in Louisville earlier than are extra identified commodities. That mentioned, what have you ever accomplished and who have you ever accomplished it in opposition to are the most effective barometers for selecting a Derby winner.
There are quite a lot of methods to wager on the Run for the Roses and that’s why our information to Derby betting is a helpful useful resource. In case you discover a horse who could not win, however may very well be shut, you may make cash accurately using that horse.
So who’s operating the most effective proper now? Let’s take a look at a number of contenders.
Important High quality
He’s five-for-five with 4 graded stakes victories and received his debut at Churchill Downs. That’s a fairly flawless resume. The primary of the stakes wins have been the Breeders Cup Juvenile. Typically the most effective two-year-olds are simply the horses who’ve developed the quickest. That doesn’t appear to be the case right here. Important High quality received a key Derby prep race final trip.
The win within the Blue Grass Stakes adopted a victorious three-year-old debut within the Southwest Stakes. He has proven versatility, successful simply off the tempo, as a deep nearer, and navigating vastly totally different tempo situations. Most of his victories have been on quick race programs, however he prospered within the slop in February too.
Important High quality can win the Kentucky Derby if he continues doing precisely what he has up to now.
Rock Your World
Like Important High quality, Rock Your World is unbeaten. On the flip aspect, his path to the Kentucky Derby is unorthodox. He started his profession by successful a dash race on turf in January, beat 4 horses in a mile grass occasion in February, and made his grime debut within the Santa Anita Derby a month in the past.
There isn’t a doubt that his win final trip is large. That mentioned, he was by no means examined. Now he faces an even bigger and stronger discipline. To a big diploma, he’s the thriller horse within the discipline of Kentucky Derby odds. It’s bizarre for that sort of entrant to be among the many favorites.
Rock Your World can win the Kentucky Derby if he certainly loves grime racing and might match or higher his Santa Anita Derby efficiency.
If we’re measuring Derby horses on their final two races, Identified Agenda seems pretty much as good as any of them. In case you take all of his races, the early ones overwhelm his candidacy. Since coach Todd Pletcher put blinkers on Identified Agenda, he has regarded particular.
Identified Agenda received one time in three races as a two-year-old. His 2021 debut was an unpleasant fifth the place he encountered some visitors as the favourite in a stakes race at Tampa Bay Downs. His non-compulsory claiming win on February 26 was dominating, and the Florida Derby rating shouts loud and clear “look out.” That mentioned, he has one high quality win, and has misplaced to a number of horses on this discipline (simply not whereas sporting blinkers).
Identified Agenda can win the Kentucky Derby if Pletcher discovered the reply, and blinkers make him the most effective horse within the discipline.
Sizzling Rod Charlie
Just like Identified Agenda, Sizzling Rod Charlie appeared to have a second when all of it clicked. As the favourite in three maiden races, two on turf, he hit the board solely as soon as and didn’t come near successful. Nevertheless, in October he notched his first victory, and out of nowhere completed second to Important High quality within the Breeders Cup Juvenile. This 12 months he was shut in a stakes race at Santa Anita and received the Louisiana Derby.
Whereas he clearly turned the nook, till final trip he hadn’t crushed Kentucky Derby caliber horses. Every of his final three races make him a consider Louisville. A repeat of March at Honest Grounds could get him to the winner’s circle.
Sizzling Rod Charlie can win the Kentucky Derby if in truth, the extent of competitors in his final race seems to be actually excessive, and in reality he has figured it out on the excellent time.
With two wins in 5 profession begins, coach Chad Brown actually eased Extremely Motivated into racing. Every of his first three begins have been in dash races together with November’s Nyquist Stakes.
Because the calendar shifted years, Brown patiently gave Extremely Motivated time to develop. He completed third going a one-turn mile within the Gotham Stakes. His two-turn debut got here in opposition to Important High quality, and he missed by a neck within the Blue Grass.
It’s unclear whether or not the Blue Grass was a terrific two-turn debut or in truth, he doesn’t really need that lengthy a distance. He additionally was allowed to be alone on the lead and set his personal tempo in Lexington. That’s unlikely to occur Saturday.
Extremely Motivated can win the Kentucky Derby if Brown has patiently dealt with him, and now he’s sitting on the most effective race of his profession.
This isn’t your typical Bob Baffert dear horse. Bought for simply $35,000, his first three races have been terrific. Medina Spirit received twice, and suffered an in depth loss to Life is Good, who would have been among the many Derby favorites if he wasn’t injured.
Medina Spirit’s final two races are each second-place performances. He misplaced to Life is Good by eight lengths in March, after which as the favourite within the Santa Anita Derby was simply crushed by Rock Your World. Trying strictly at his operating strains, he’s all the time aggressive, and the value is completely affordable.
Medina Spirit can win the Derby if we shut our eyes and blindly consider in Baffert. That has been a superb formulation lately.
Dave Friedman has coated skilled and school sports activities for twenty years. From ESPN to the Related Press, Regional Sports activities Networks, Metro Networks, and lots of native shops, he has written about and broadcast main and minor occasions all through the nation.