Dayton vs Miami Picks and Odds (Nov. 25)


Miami guard Isaiah Wong dunking

Miami guard Isaiah Wong (2) slams residence a dunk through the second half an NCAA school basketball recreation in opposition to Pittsburgh within the first spherical of the Atlantic Coast Convention match in Greensboro, N.C., Tuesday, March 9, 2021. (AP Photograph/Gerry Broome)

  • Miami is a 5.5-point favourite over Dayton
  • Miami is 3-1, 1-3 ATS
  • Dayton is 0-4 ATS, all at residence

Miami (3-1) is a 5.5-point favourite over Dayton within the first spherical of the ESPN Occasions Invitational match on Thursday at midday ET on ESPN2 on the ESPN Extensive World of Sports activities full at Kissimmee, Fla.

Dayton (1-3) has misplaced its final three video games, all as not less than a 9.5-point residence favourite, and is 0-4 ATS this season.

Dayton vs Miami Odds

Group Moneyline Unfold Whole
Dayton Flyers +210 +5.5 (-102) Over 136.5 (-122)
Miami Hurricanes -260 -5.5 (-120) Below 136.5 (+100)

Odds from FanDuel on Nov. 25

Miami is 2-1 straight up and 1-2 ATS in opposition to a Florida-friendly schedule. The Hurricanes have crushed Florida A&M and Florida Atlantic of their final two after falling to Central Florida on Nov. 13.

Moore Finds a (New) Dwelling

Sixth-year 5’11 switch guard Charlie Moore is off to a quick begin with the Hurricanes, his fourth school cease after spending his first season at California, the following at Kansas and most up-to-date two at DePaul.

Moore, a part of the Hurricanes’ three-guard  lineup, is averaging 11.3 factors and three.0 assists a recreation in 4 begins after averaging 15.1 factors and 5.3 assists at DePaul. He has above-average quickness, however that has been balanced by a profession taking pictures proportion of 37.6 and a 1.3:1 assist-to-turnover ratio.

A Chicago native, Moore had his greatest recreation with the Hurricanes in an 86-59 victory over Florida A&M the final day out, with 20 factors, 4 assists, three steals and solely two turnovers. He made 5 of seven 3-pointers. He has by no means made greater than 35 p.c of his 3-point makes an attempt.

Miami Small-Ball Pleasant

Sophomore 6’3 guard Isaiah Wong joins sixth-year senior 6’5 Kameron McGusty and Moore in a three-pronged assault that depends on penetration somewhat than distance taking pictures.

McGusty leads the Hurricanes in scoring (19.0) and rebounds (6.3), and he seems to be on the verge of the form of breakout season Wong had in 2020-21. McGusty has averaged 13.3 factors and 4.1 rebounds in his earlier two seasons in Miami after enjoying two years at Oklahoma, and his size provides defensive presence.

Wong, the offensive catalyst, is averaging 16.0 factors and 4.0 rebounds whereas taking pictures 52.3 p.c from the sphere after averaging 17.1 factors a recreation as a second-year freshman a 12 months in the past. He had 30 factors in opposition to Louisville and 29 in opposition to Florida State final 12 months.

Flyers Grounded

Dayton has underachieved within the linesmakers’ eyes this season whereas making an attempt to meld transfers 6’6 ahead Toumani Camara (Georgia), 6’2 guard Kobe Ellis (DePaul) and 6’8 ahead Richard Amaefule (East Tennessee State) and extremely recruited 6’10 freshman ahead DaRon Holmes right into a cohesive unit.

The Flyers are taking pictures 43.5 p.c from the sphere, 22,8 from three-point vary, and Camara (11.0) is the one double-digit on a staff averaging 65.5 factors a recreation whereas giving up 69.5 in opposition to opponents that the Obi Toppin/Jalen Crutcher group would have simply dealt with.

Dayton has misplaced to Austin Peay and UMass-Lowell and 7 gamers have began as coach Anthony Grant seems to be for the correct mix on a staff with quite a lot of dimension.

Robust Match Area

It won’t get any simpler for winner of this one with No. 4 Kansas lurking in the identical half of the bracket. The Jayhawks (3-0) play North Texas within the first spherical.

No. 10 Alabama, Iona, Belmont and Drake are within the different half of the bracket. Belmont gained the Ohio Valley regular-season title a 12 months in the past Drake was second within the Missouri Valley, Iona was second within the Metro Atlantic and North Texas is coming off an 18-win season.

This match was generally known as the Orlando Invitational in its first 14 seasons and was cancelled due to Covid-19 in 2020 earlier than being rebranded this 12 months. Maryland (2019), Villanova (2018), West Virginia (2017), Gonzaga (2016), Xavier (2015) and Kansas (2014) are the earlier six winners.

By the Numbers

Miami is 86th in adjusted effectivity margin in KenPom. Dayton is 129th in opposition to a schedule that is likely one of the lowest rated in Division I. Dayton has gained seven of the earlier eight conferences, however the groups haven’t performed since 1990.

Miami was third in Division I in free throws makes an attempt (30) and makes (22.3) getting into Tuesday video games. The groups have reverse strengths, however Miami is extra environment friendly at its recreation.

The choose: Miami -5.5 (-120)

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