Denis Shapovalov vs Felix Auger-Aliassime Odds & Prediction


Felix Auger-Aliassime hitting a backhand return during a tennis match.

Felix Auger-Aliassime of Canada returns to John Isner in the course of the Miami Open tennis match, Sunday, March 28, 2021, in Miami Gardens, Fla. (AP Picture/Marta Lavandier)

  • Denis Shapovalov and Felix Auger-Aliassime will face one another within the Spherical of 16 on the Barcelona Open Thursday, April twenty second at 5:00 AM ET
  • This would be the fifth assembly between the younger Canadians
  • See under for the chances of what’s anticipated to be a decent match, and our greatest wager evaluation

It’s an all-Canadian showdown in Barcelona as Denis Shapovalov and Felix Auger-Aliassime go head-to-head within the Spherical of 16 at The Barcelona Open. This can already be the second time these two have confronted one another this yr.

22-year outdated Shapovalov is coming off a straight set win towards Jeremy Chardy, whereas Auger-Aliassime is coming off a come from behind win, the place he needed to come again after dropping the primary set towards opponent Lorenzo Musetti.

With a cut up head-to-head document, and such shut odds heading into this match, count on it to be an thrilling one. Have a look under as we breakdown each gamers’ earlier match on the match, and what we’d be capable of count on on Thursday.

Denis Shapovalov vs Felix Auger Aliassime Barcelona Open Spherical of 16 Odds

Prop Unfold at DraftKings Moneyline Whole
[7] Denis Shapovalov +1.5 (-129) -103 O 22.5 (-105)
[10] Felix Auger-Aliassime -1.5 (+102) -121 U 22.5 (-121)

Odds as of April twenty first.

It’s not a shock that both participant is right here, as each entered the match inside the High 10 odds to win outright. However nobody’s opening odds got here near 11-time champion, Rafael Nadal, who was the very sturdy favourite as soon as once more.

Shapovalov Opens His Clay Courtroom Season With A Win

Shapovalov, who acquired a bye within the first spherical, noticed himself up towards a well-known opponent, who he’s had nice success towards, Jeremy Chardy. Shapovalov defeated Chardy in straight units, successful 6-3, 7-5, enhancing his head-to-head document towards the Frenchman to 4-0.

In a match that lasted simply over an hour and half, Shapovalov recorded 9 aces, and managed to win 68 p.c of his factors when getting his first serve in, in comparison with Chardy’s 58 p.c.

This win is a good begin to the match for Shapovalov, but additionally an ideal begin to his 2021 clay court docket season. He’ll now sit up for taking part in longtime buddy and fellow Canadian, Auger-Aliassime.

Auger-Aliassime’s First Win Underneath Toni Nadal

Together with his second spherical win towards Musetti, the 20-year outdated Canadian has earned his first clay court docket win of 2021. This additionally marks his first win with new coach, Toni Nadal. Nadal, also referred to as “Uncle Toni,” is the uncle and former coach of Rafael Nadal.

The 2 started working collectively within the lead as much as the Monte-Carlo Masters, the place the Canadian ended up having an early exit, happening within the Spherical of 64.

It’s nonetheless within the early levels of this partnership, however is that this the match the place we see outcomes of this pairing?

Regardless of happening in that first set 4-6, Auger-Aliassime got here again to win 4-6, 6-3, 6-0. A transparent change in tone of the match, ending with Musetti unable to even steal a recreation in that deciding set. Noticeably battling some type of again harm, Musetti was struggling to maneuver effectively in the direction of the tip of the match.

Nonetheless, all through the match, Auger-Aliassime was capable of save six of eight breakpoints, and received 75 p.c of factors when he acquired his first serve in, in comparison with his opponent’s 56 p.c.

He now seems to be to tackle Shapovalov, who he is aware of all too effectively.

Head-to-Head & Greatest Guess

With only a yr aside in age, these two have come up the ranks collectively. Their final match got here earlier this yr on the Australian Open the place the youthful Canadian, Auger-Aliassime received 7-5, 7-5, 6-3. Auger-Aliassime’s different win additionally got here of their solely matchup on clay again in 2019, successful in straight units.

Shapovalov vs Auger-Aliassime Head-to-Head Stats

14 ATP Standing 20
22 Age 20
7/6 YTD W/L 10/6
111/93 Profession W/L 72/58
1 Profession Titles 0
2 Head-to-Head Wins 2

It doesn’t get far more of a battle than this one. And we’re attending to see it within the third spherical.

Neither participant has had an overwhelmingly quantity of success of clay, however there’s been enchancment in Shapovalov’s recreation on the floor, and final yr he went 5-2 in his clay court docket matches. Auger-Aliassime solely managed a 1-3 document. I posed the query earlier of whether or not or not this would be the match we see some outcomes of the Auger-Aliassime and Toni Nadal partnership. It’s robust to say, I do suppose it’s attainable, however it’s nonetheless early. I count on we’ll slowly begin seeing extra outcomes as we get nearer to the French Open.

Auger-Aliassime has had a barely higher yr than Shapovalov up to now. He began the yr with a finals look, and has since added a quarterfinal look. However he’s had a few shaky matches on clay. Shapovalov has slowly been enhancing his play on this floor, and if he’s capable of management his serve, together with minimizing his double faults, there’s a great probability he will get a win right here.

The Decide: Shapovalov (-103)

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