Dominic Thiem vs John Isner Odds & Prediction

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Dominic Thiem vs John Isner

Roberto Bautista Agut from Spain, left, and John Isner of the US after their match on the Mutua Madrid Open tennis event in Madrid, Spain, Wednesday, Could 5, 2021. (AP Photograph/Bernat Armangue)

  • John Isner upset No. 9 seed Bautista Agut and No. 6 Andrey Rublev to succeed in the Madrid quarterfinals
  • No. 3 seed Dominic Thiem hasn’t misplaced a set in two matches as he faces Isner on Friday, Could 7, at 7:00 am EDT
  • Thiem is the favourite, however Isner is serving rockets. We break down his probabilities for an upset.

Dominic Thiem hadn’t performed in six weeks. John Isner had barely performed all season.

And but they’re wanting in mid-season kind as they meet within the Madrid Open quarterfinals Friday.

Dominic Thiem vs John Isner Odds

Participant Unfold Moneyline Whole at DraftKings
[3] Dominic Thiem (AUT) 2.5 (+100) -360 O 23.5 (+100)
John Isner (USA) +2.5 (-125) +270 U 23.5 (+125)

Odds as of Could 6

You wouldn’t have anticipated the unseeded Isner to come back by way of a bracket that included No. 6 seed Andrey Rublev and No. 9 seed Roberto Bautista Agut – each daunting foes on clay.

Particularly as a result of the 36-year-old American had had simply two matches on clay (each final October in Paris) since … the 2018 French Open.

And but, right here he’s.

Madrid Circumstances Go well with Isner

The 6-foot-10 American, who turned 36 on April 26, hasn’t performed Madrid a lot in recent times.

Nevertheless it fits him. Clay normally works; it offers him time to arrange his groundstrokes and nonetheless get free factors together with his serve. The short circumstances at altitude this week solely assist.

Isner made the Madrid quarterfinals in 2015. He didn’t return till 2018, and made the quarterfinals once more, shedding to eventual champion Alexander Zverev. That is his first time again since then.

Third-Set Tiebreak King

Up to now this week, 5 of Isner’s eight units performed have gone the gap.

He had 29 aces in his upset win over Rublev within the third spherical Thursday (in a third-set tiebreak).

In opposition to Bautista Agut within the second spherical, he had 32 aces (and 0 double faults). Sure, one other third-set tiebreak victory.

Each Gamers In need of Match Play

This journey to Madrid is the primary time Isner has left the Americas in 2021. He started the 12 months at Delray Seaside, skipped the Australian journey after which performed Acapulco and Miami. He arrived Madrid 4-3 on the 12 months.

Thiem got here in simply 5-4 on the season.

He performed ATP Cup and the Australian Open in Melbourne, after which Doha and Dubai within the Center East (the place he was shocked by Lloyd Harris within the first spherical in Dubai).

That was six weeks in the past.

However Thiem hasn’t dropped a set in his first two matches.

Dominic Thiem vs John Isner Head-to-Head

27 (Sept. 3, 1993) Age 36 (April 26, 1985)
Lichtenworth, Austria Birthplace Greensboro, NC
6-1 Peak 6-10
17 Profession ATP Singles Titles 15
No. 3 (March 2, 2020) Profession Excessive Rating No. 8 (July 16, 2018)
No. 4 Present Rating  No. 39
$28,586,381 Profession Prize Cash $19,405,440
7-4 2021 Received/Loss document 7-3
2 Profession Head-to-Head 1

Uncommon Tour Conferences Between Two Veterans

That is the fifteenth professional season for Isner, the eleventh for Thiem. And but, the 2 have hardly ever met.

On the common Tour, they’ve performed simply twice, each all the way in which again in 2015.

The Laver Cup, a “Europe vs the World” exhibition whose outcomes nonetheless seem within the ATP Tour head-to-heads, makes use of a match tiebreak in lieu of a 3rd set.

And that one, through the inaugural version performed in Prague, couldn’t have been nearer.

Isner had 23 aces on a quick indoor courtroom. And it got here right down to the wire.

However even that one was practically 4 years in the past when Isner was ranked No. 17 to Thiem’s No. 7.

Dominic Thiem vs John Isner Match Historical past

Yr Match Floor Rating Winner
2017 Laver Cup Indoor Laborious 6-7 (15), 7-6 (2), [10-7] Thiem
2015 Beijing (R32) Out of doors Laborious 7-5, 6-1 Isner
2015 Good (SF) Out of doors Clay 7-6 (5), 6-3 Thiem

Large Physique, Worn Down

We’d give Isner a greater shot if he hadn’t performed six units, 4 1/2 hours, and two match-deciding tiebreaks during the last two days.

At 36, with so little match play and such an enormous physique to yank across the courtroom, that’s so much.

Nonetheless, the American gained the primary set in each these matches. In order that’s an excellent name in opposition to Thiem at +205.

The chances that they’ll play at the least one tiebreak (-177) aren’t nice. However they’re virtually a lock.

And so they can go over 25.5 video games (+118) even when they play two tiebreak units and don’t even go the gap.

Greatest Wager: Thiem in three units (+275)


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