Federico Delbonis vs Reilly Opelka Odds & Prediction

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Federico Delbonis vs Reilly Opelka

United States’ Reilly Opelka thumbs up as he stroll out after a match towards compatriot Taylor Fritz on the Australian Open tennis championship in Melbourne, Australia, Wednesday, Feb. 10, 2021. (AP Picture/Andy Brownbill)

  • Reilly Opelka and Federico Delbonis will meet for the primary time, within the Rome quarterfinals Friday (4 am EDT)
  • Opelka, 23, is in his second Masters 1000 quarterfinal; it’s the primary for 30-year-old Argentina Delbonis.
  • Regardless of the 6-11 Opelka’s enormous success on serve this week, Delbonis, a qualifier, stays the slight favourite

Federico Delbonis’s run from the qualifying to the Rome quarterfinals may appear to be a fluke.

However the 30-year-old lefty from Argentina has been on a great roll.

Federico Delbonis vs Reilly Opelka Odds

Participant Unfold Moneyline Whole at DraftKings
[Q] Federico Delbonis (ARG) -1.5 (-115) -159 O 25.5 (-109)
Reilly Opelka (USA) -1.5 (-108) +128 U 25.5 (-115)

Odds as of Might 13

By Monte Carlo, Belgrade, Madrid and Rome (with three profitable runs by qualifying), Delbonis is 12-3.

He defeated Pablo Carreño Busta and Albert Ramos Viñolas on their very own turf in Madrid.

After which Delbonis took care of Karen Khachanov, David Goffin and Félix Auger-Aliassime in succession in Rome.

American Recovering from COVID-19

Some six weeks in the past, Opelka contracted COVID-19 in Florida after he left the Miami Open COVID-safe bubble

It hit him fairly laborious.

“Positively put me out utterly for 5 days. After which I stayed residence for an additional 10 or 11 days, not less than,” he advised the Related Press. “Took about three or 4 weeks for me to really feel like my power was regular and to have the ability to practice and apply 4 hours a day,”

Opelka made it to Madrid, however misplaced within the first spherical. So he got here into Rome with only one clay-court match beneath his belt.

Winners of a Broad-Open Quarter

Delbonis and Opelka are lengthy pictures in a closing eight that accommodates Novak Djokovic, Rafael Nadal, Stefanos Tsitsipas, Andrey Rublev and Alexander Zverev.

They had been in by far probably the most susceptible quarter of the draw. They usually made probably the most of it.

The highest seed of their part was Daniil Medvedev. The world No. 2’s disdain for crimson clay and all the pieces encrusted with it’s no secret.

Alternative was going to knock in that part. These two had been those who answered the door.

Federico Delbonis vs Reilly Opelka Head-to-Head

30 (Oct. 5, 1990) Age 23 (Aug. 28, 1997)
Azul, Argentina Birthplace St. Joseph, MI
6-4 Peak 6-11
2 Profession ATP Singles Titles 2
No. 33 (Might 9, 2016) Profession Excessive Rating No. 31 (Aug. 28, 2019)
No. 80 Present Rating  No. 47
$4,548,193 Profession Prize Cash $2,295,579
14-9 2021 Received/Loss file 5-7

Serve Stats off His Charts

On the ATP stage coming into Rome, Opelka had gained 5 profession clay matches and misplaced 11.

And his travails haven’t been restricted to the clay. The 23-year-old American additionally snapped a six-match shedding streak on all surfaces this week.

Opelka’s serving numbers have been off the charts in Rome in comparison with his profession numbers on the dust.

He’s selecting up proper the place his fellow American big John Isner left off when he reached the quarterfinals in Madrid.

In his profession, the American has averaged about one break level towards his serve each two service video games. In 20 service video games this week, Opelka has confronted simply two break factors.

His profession successful share on second-serve returns on clay is 40-percent. This week, it’s 48-percent.

Opelka got here into Rome with a 22-percent success fee on break factors on his opponent’s serve on clay. This week, he’s 6-for-8.

And, on the opposite aspect of the ledger, the  participant who has averaged virtually precisely one ace per service sport on the clay has common a smidgen beneath two aces per sport this week.

There’s no motive for that to cease. He additionally has a constructive file towards lefties.

Opelka on Serve – and Return – in Rome

Rd / Opponent Aces / DFs BPs In opposition to/Transformed BPs Earned/Transformed 2nd Serve Return Pts Received
R1 / Richard Gasquet 18 / 1 0 / 0 3 / 3 11/20 (55%)
R2 / Lorenzo Musetti 23 / 1 0 / 0 3 / 2 6/11 (55%)
R3 / Aslan Karatsev 18 / 1 2 / 0 2 / 1 8/21 (38%)

Delbonis doesn’t have a ton of expertise or success towards the massive servers.

He as soon as beat John Isner eons in the past on clay, in a third-set tiebreak. And he defeated Ivo Karlovic as soon as – on an harm retirement. He has by no means confronted Milos Raonic – or Opelka.

Opelka as performed only one tiebreak in his six earlier units. So whereas the -210 odds on there being not less than one within the match are tempting, it might run counter to the American’s sample this week. Then again, he’s in all probability due.

Finest Wager: Opelka in two units (+320)

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