Karolina Pliskova vs Jelena Ostapenko Odds & Prediction

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Karolina Pliskova vs Jelena Ostapenko

Karolina Pliskova serves in opposition to Tamara Korpatsch within the first spherical of the ladies’s Porsche tennis event in Stuttgart, Germany, Wednesday, April 21, 2021. (Thomas Kienzle/Pool Photograph through AP)

  • Karolina Pliskova is the -167 favourite to defeat Jelena Ostapeno of their WTA Italian Open quarterfinal on Friday, Might 14th
  • Ostapenko is given +135 underdog odds
  • World #9 Pliskova has received 4 of seven earlier conferences between the 2 gamers

Jelena Ostapenko is thru to the quarterfinals of a WTA occasion for the primary time this season. It’s quarterfinal #3 for Karolina Pliskova, however she’s nonetheless in search of to take the subsequent step.

As these two gamers conflict Friday within the quarterfinals of the WTA Italian Open, will or not it’s Ostapenko or Pliskova who strikes to a brand new stage of competitors in 2021?

Oddsmakers have set that bar and consider that it will likely be Pliskova who clears it. The Czech participant is the -167 favourite to defeat Latvia’s Ostapenko.

This would be the eighth assembly between the 2. World #9 Pliskova holds a slight 4-3 benefit over world #49 Ostapenko in earlier head-to-head showdowns.

Karolina Pliskova vs Jelena Ostapenko Odds

Participant Moneyline Unfold Complete at DraftKings
Karolina Pliskova -167 -2.5 (-115) O 19.5 (-210)
Jelena Ostapenko +135 +2.5 (-110) U 19.5 (+160)

Odds as of Might thirteenth

Friday’s match is slated for a 6:00 am ET begin. The Tennis Channel will carry broadcast protection.

Pliskova Powers Onward

Rome tends to convey out the most effective in Pliskova and that’s once more been the case this yr. She’s reached the ultimate of the final two Italian Opens. Pliskova received the occasion in 2019 and misplaced final yr’s remaining to Simona Halep when Pliskova was pressured to retire because of harm.

By two rounds of play, ninth-seeded Pliskova has but to drop a set in Rome. Her closest name got here within the opening set of her spherical of 16 match in opposition to Russian qualifier Vera Zvonerova.

Pliskova was a 7-5 winner of that set en path to a 7-5, 6-3 verdict over former world #2 Zvonereva, a two-time Rome semifinalist. Within the spherical of 32, Pliskova dispatched Latvia’s Anastasija Sevastova 6-2, 6-3.

It’s been a a lot steadier Pliskova in Rome than throughout her first two clay-court occasions of 2021. She reached the quarterfinals at Stuttgart earlier than falling to world #1 Ashleigh Barty. Nonetheless, all three of Pliskova’s matches there have been three-set affairs.

In Madrid, following a three-set overcome American Cori Gauff, Pliskova exited 0-6, 5-7 within the spherical of 32 in opposition to Russia’s Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova.

Ostapenko Rallies

Down a set to Angelique Kerber in her spherical of 16 match, Ostapenko roared again on two events for a 4-6, 6-3, 6-4 victory. Ostapenko’s service was damaged 4 occasions within the first recreation of the match.

She was additionally trailing 3-1 within the third set earlier than mounting a comeback inside her comeback. Ostapenko saved six break factors within the sixth recreation of the third set to knot the depend at 3-3.

The Latvian smashed a powerful whole of 51 winners over the course of the two-hour, 11-minute match. Nonetheless, she was additionally liable for 65 unforced errors. Former French Open champion Ostapenko is in search of to achieve the semifinals of a WTA occasion for the primary time since her win on the BGL BNP Paribas Luxembourg Open in 2019.

Historically, Ostapenko hasn’t fared effectively within the Italian Open. She was bounced within the first spherical final yr and in 2019 with out successful a set. In 2018, Ostapenko additionally reached the quarterfinals right here. She misplaced in three units to Maria Sharapova.

Ostapenko was a second-round sufferer in 2017 and made a third-round exit in 2016.

Service With a Smile

An influence serve recreation is actually the ace up Pliskova’s sleeve. She holds the WTA document for aces in a match, hitting 31 of them within the second spherical of the 2106 Australian Open.

This season, the Czech has seved 130 aces, in comparison with 49 by Ostapenko. In two matches at Rome, Pliskova holds an 8-1 benefit in aces over her opposition.

Karolina Pliskova vs Jelena Ostapenko Stats

9 WTA Rating 49
16 WTA Titles 3
29 WTA Remaining Appearances 7
12-8 W-L (2021) 13-8
67.3 Service Video games Gained 64.0
31.5 Return Video games Gained 38.3
39.4 Break Factors Saved 53.5
130 Aces 49

There may be very latest historical past on this matchup. Pliskova edged Ostapenko 6-7(7), 6-4, 6-3 on the clay courts within the spherical of 16 at Stuttgart. The Czech participant served 21 aces and received 70% of her first-service factors in that match.

Final yr, Ostapenko was the 6-4, 6-2 straight-set winner at Roland Garros within the French Open spherical of 16. Pliskova owns a 2-1 lead within the collection in matches performed on clay.

Kerber dedicated 13 double faults in her loss to Ostapenko. Pliskova has double-faulted simply six occasions by two matches.

Choose: Karolina Pliskova (-167), Pliskova 2-1 (+320)

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