Mac Jones’ Odds to Begin Week 1 for Patriots Listed at +500; Is There Worth?

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Alabama quarterback Mac Jones holding a team jersey with NFL Commissioner Roger Goodell after New England Patriots selected him in the draft.

Alabama quarterback Mac Jones, proper, holds a staff jersey with NFL Commissioner Roger Goodell after the New England Patriots chosen him with the fifteenth decide within the NFL soccer draft, Thursday April 29, 2021, in Cleveland. (Jeff Haynes/AP Photographs for Panini)

  • The New England Patriots chosen Alabama quarterback Mac Jones within the first spherical of final week’s NFL Draft
  • Coach Invoice Belichick says Jones is No. 3 on the depth chart behind Cam Newton and Jarrett Stidham
  • The chances on every of the three QBs possibilities to start out in Week 1 with evaluation of the state of affairs might be discovered beneath

The New England Patriots chosen a quarterback within the first spherical of the NFL Draft final week for the primary time in Invoice Belichick’s 21-year tenure as coach.

Nonetheless, Mac Jones will begin on the backside in keeping with Belichick. The coach says the previous Alabama star is No. 3 on the Patriots’ QB depth chart behind incumbent starter Cam Newton and Jarrett Stidham.

The query, although, is the place will Jones stand come Week 1 of the 2021 season? The oddsmakers imagine Jones will probably be second string to Newton by that time.

Odds to be Patriots’ Beginning QB in Week 1 of 2021 Season

Quarterback Odds at DraftKings
Cam Newton -400
Mac Jones +500
Jarrett Stidham +600

Odds as of Could 4th.

Robust to Substitute a Legend

Newton took on the extremely troublesome process of changing Tom Brady because the beginning QB final season when he signed with the Patriots as a free agent. All Brady did in 20 seasons with New England was win six Tremendous Bowls.

Whereas not on Brady’s degree – who’s on TB 12’s degree? – Newton put collectively a powerful resume in 9 seasons with the Carolina Panthers. Newton was the NFL MVP in 2015 when he led the Panthers to the Tremendous Bowl, the place they misplaced to the Denver Broncos, and was chosen to a few Professional Bowls.

Nonetheless, Newton was additionally restricted to only two video games with the Panthers in 2019 due to a foot harm. The rust confirmed final season when Newton additionally needed to adapt to a brand new offense.

Newton didn’t precisely flash Professional Bowl kind because the Patriots went 7-9 and missed the playoffs for the primary time since 2008. He accomplished 65.8% of his passes for two,657 yards and simply eight touchdowns whereas being intercepted 10 instances.

In equity to Newton, he did contract COVID-19. The coronavirus induced him to overlook the Week 4 loss to the Kansas Metropolis Chiefs and certain weakened him for some time after.

Newton did have some good moments earlier than getting sick.

The Patriots additionally didn’t encompass Newton with many weapons. Jakobi Meyers was the highest receiver and posted pedestrian numbers with 59 receptions for 729 yards and no touchdowns. Main rusher Damien Harris had simply 691 yards and two TDs on 137 carries.

Is Jones Prepared?

Most draft analysts take into account Jones as doubtlessly able to step in as a starter for a staff that runs a conventional offense with a drop-back passing type. Emphasis on doubtlessly.

The Patriots altered their scheme to Newton final season, utilizing extra learn choices and making an attempt to capitalize on his velocity. Nonetheless, Brady was a pocket passer all through his lengthy tenure in New England and was fairly profitable.

Thus, Jones would seemingly be a very good match for the type offensive coordinator Josh McDaniels prefers.

But Jones didn’t have a prolonged school profession and that brings about some pause. He began the ultimate final 4 video games in 2019 for Alabama after Tua Tagovailoa was injured then took over because the QB1 final season.

Jones, although, did have a fairly a 2020 season whereas being a Heisman Trophy finalist, profitable the Davey O’Brien Award because the nationwide’s prime quarterback and main Alabama to an 11-0 document and the nationwide championship.

Jones set the NCAA document with a 77.4% completion charge within the pandemic-shortened season. He additionally had 4,500 passing yards and 41 TD passes to only 4 picks.

Pats Need to Win Now

Belichick has spent quite a lot of proprietor Robert Kraft’s cash in free company this offseason not simply to return the Patriots again into the playoffs however to get to a different Tremendous Bowl.

Among the many gamers who’ve been added are tight ends Hunter Harvey and Jonnu Smith, large receiver Nelson Agholor and edge rusher Matthew Judon. The Patriots additionally re-signed standout middle David Andrews and Newton for one 12 months and simply $3.5 million after he made simply $1.5 million final season.

Will Belichick have the ability to mix so many newcomers right into a aggressive staff? That’s the plan because the Patriots fancy themselves as Tremendous Bowl contenders relatively than a rebuilding franchise.

The Patriots are in a lot the identical state of affairs because the Bears the place they need to determine to both go along with youth at QB (Justin Fields in Chicago’s case) or a veteran (Andy Dalton).

Followers may even be extra enthusiastic about Fields in Chicago than Jones in New England.

Eyeing the Tremendous Bowl, it’s exhausting to picture Belichick starting a season with a rookie quarterback who had simply 15 begins on the school degree. It additionally stands to motive that the Patriots would wish to see how Newton fares with higher targets within the passing recreation.

So, whereas it doesn’t signify nice worth, betting Newton to start out in Week 1 is the way in which to go right here.

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