Matteo Berrettini vs Cristian Garin Odds & Prediction

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Matteo Berrettini vs Cristian Garin

Cristian Garin of Chile returns the ball to Russia’s Daniil Medvedev throughout their match on the Mutua Madrid Open tennis match in Madrid, Spain, Thursday, Might 6, 2021. (AP Photograph/Bernat Armangue)

  • Italy’s Matteo Berrettini is the -177 favourite over Chile’s Cristian Garin of their ATP Madrid Open quarterfinal on Friday, Might seventh
  •  They’ve cut up two profession matches in opposition to one another, with Garin profitable their solely earlier assembly on clay
  • Garin owns a 52-25 lifetime mark on clay, whereas Berrettini is 34-15

He won’t be on a stage of Rafael Nadal, however in the case of clay courts, Cristian Garin is a very completely different participant. Matteo Berrettini, alternatively, is a stable performer on all surfaces.

The Sixteenth-seeded Garin of Chile, who shocked world #3 Daniil Medvedev of Russia 6-4, 6-7(2-7) 6-1 to achieve the quarterfinals of the ATP Madrid Open, is a +140 underdog in opposition to Italy’s Berrettini. The Italian is the -177 chalk.

Garin has picked up all 9 of his 2021 match victories on clay. He’s winless on all different surfaces.

Italian Berrettini, the #8 seed, overcame early struggles to get previous qualifier Federico Delbonis of Argentina of their spherical of 16 match, profitable 7-6(7-4), 6-4. He’s 7-1 on clay this 12 months.

Their quarterfinal match is slated for Friday, Might seventh at 2:20 pm ET at Manolo Santana Stadium. Tennis TV will carry the printed.

Matteo Berrettini vs Cristian Garin Odds

Participant Moneyline Unfold Whole at DraftKings
Matteo Berrettini -177 -1.5 (+102) O 19.5 (-360)
Cristian Garin +140 +1.5 (-230) U 19.5 (+260)

Odds as of Might sixth

Garin Will get It Going

It’s been an up-and-down season to date for Chilean Garin. He was simply 6-6 on the 12 months upon arriving in Spain.

Garin was 1-3 over his earlier 4 matches. That got here after a 4-1 begin to the 12 months during which he captured the title in his homeland of Chile at Santiago, an ATP 250 occasion performed on clay.

He seems to have once more discovered his sport on the clay courts of Madrid. Garin received his first two matches of the match in straight units.

In taking out Medvedev, Garin broke the Russian’s service twice within the deciding set. Garin was a winner on 75-percent of his service factors. He smashed six aces and handled only one break level the whole match, efficiently fending it off.

That is the second time in his profession that Garin has ousted the world’s #3 participant and final time, the result was ominous for him. Garin beat then-world #3 Alexander Zverev on the 2019 BMW Open. That victory was additionally earned in three units and was captured by Garin en path to profitable the title.

That is Garin’s second journey to the quarterfinals in an ATP 1000 occasion. He’s by no means reached the semifinal stage of one among these tournaments.

Berrettini Bashes It

World #10 Berrettini used his highly effective serve to take management of the match in opposition to Delbonis. The Italian slammed seven aces.

He received a whopping 83-percent of his first service factors, persevering with his dominance in that division. Berrettini received 85-percent of his first-serve factors in his earlier match in opposition to fellow Italian Fabio Fognini.

Since getting back from a rib harm that pressured him to withdraw from his Australian Open fourth-round match in opposition to Stefanos Tsitsipas, Berrettini has received six of his final seven matches. All had been performed on clay courts.

It’s the primary time Berrettini has been a part of the primary draw at Madrid. He’s 12-2 in his final 14 units performed on clay surfaces.

Garin a Clay Court docket Specialist

General in his profession, Garin is 52-25 when enjoying on a clay court docket. That’s a .675 profitable share.

He’s 6-4 this season (.600). All 5 of his profession ATP match victories had been received on clay surfaces.

Berrettini and Garin are 1-1 in head-to-head conferences. The victory for Garin got here on clay. He beat Berrettini 6-1, 3-6, 7-6(7-1) within the remaining at Munich in 2019.

Matteo Berrettini vs Cristian Garin Stats

10 ATP Rating 25
4 ATP Titles 5
5 ATP Ultimate Appearances 6
15-3 W-L (2021) 9-6
80 Service Video games Received 77
26 Return Video games Received 29
74 Break Factors Saved 67
134 Aces 52

Berrettini additionally has a match victory this 12 months on clay on the Belgrade Open. He’s a stellar 34-15 all-time on clay. That’s a formidable .694 profitable share. On the similar, Berrettini can be 8-2 in 2021 on laborious court docket surfaces.

Getting off to a quick begin will probably be important for each gamers. Berrettini is 14-0 this season when he wins the primary set, whereas Garin is 9-2. Nevertheless, each Berrettini (0-3) and Garin (0-4) are winless in matches once they drop the primary set.

Garin is 1-5 in tiebreakers this 12 months. Berrettini has received six of seven tiebreakers.

Decide: Matteo Berrettini (-177), Berrettini 2-1 (+310)


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