MLB DFS 4/19/21 – Ben’s Pitching Preview » DFS Karma
Welcome everybody to Ben’s Pitching Preview! This season I can be getting again to my roots and specializing in my high SP choices for every slate. In any case, a SP Breakdown was my first ever common article on this web site once I began offering content material a few years in the past.
Our Core Performs have been nice to start out the season, you’ll be able to decide up a bundle right here.
Let’s get into it!
It’s smaller Monday slate, however we do have just a few aces on the hill beginning with Joe Musgrove. I’m within the camp of believing Musgrove was an ace earlier than his no-hitter, however the secret is out and his worth has skyrocketed in DFS. Relationship again to the beginning of 2020 he has almost 34% strikeouts with over 14% swinging strikes. He will get one other nice match-up tonight vs the Brewers, who’re with out Christian Yelich. Over that very same span, this lineup tasks for a 27% strikeout charge vs right-handed pitching with a sub-.305 wOBA. I’m not terrified of single batter for the Brewers proper now, and Musgrove combines his strikeouts with 50% grounders to either side of the plate. He’s my clear SP1 on Monday night time.
I famous above that Musgrove was my clear SP1, and I consider Could is the clear second finest play tonight. Many had written him off as a greater in actual life than fantasy pitcher heading into 2021. It’s essential to recollect he’s simply 23 years outdated, and it’s unlikely we all know what he can actually be as an MLB pitcher but. That being stated, he regarded primed to take a leap in strikeouts this season and that has been the case up to now. His swinging strikes are over 14% (Musgove-level) this season in comparison with 10% in 2020. This has resulted in a pleasant Ok enhance for the younger star, and that pattern ought to proceed tonight. This can be a free-swinging Mariners lineup, that tasks to strike out over 1 / 4 of the time as a crew. Like Musgrove, Could is ready to fight a lineup with 50% floor balls when he doesn’t have his finest stuff. His worth is approach up, however I believe he’s well worth the spend on this match-up.
When trying to find a 3rd possibility that isn’t costly, Bundy stands out as too low cost on DK. Bundy is one other man that may rack up Ok’s in a rush, which is what we love concentrating on in DFS. Given his strikeout charge of almost 28% over the past two seasons, it doesn’t make sense to be sub-8K in wage. This can be a constructive strikeout match-up in opposition to a free-swinging Rangers lineup. Bundy’s one weak spot is energy, particularly to lefties, and there are some energy threats on this lineup. He does have a very good change as much as neutralize the left-handed batters, nevertheless, and it’s a pitch that Gallo, Dahl and Calhoun all battle in opposition to. He is a superb pivot in tournaments.
Written by Ben Hossler (Observe @BenHossler on Twitter)