MLB DFS 4/23/21 – Ben’s Pitching Preview » DFS Karma
Welcome everybody to Ben’s Pitching Preview! This season I will likely be getting again to my roots and specializing in my high SP choices for every slate. In any case, a SP breakdown was my first ever common article on this web site after I began offering content material a few years in the past.
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Let’s get into it!
deGrom is the very best pitcher in baseball, and is matchup-proof in my eyes. For the reason that begin of 2020, he owns an insane 2.40 SIERA, with video game-like 41% strikeouts. It is a impartial matchup because the Washington Nationals lineup solely initiatives for 21.5% strikeouts. deGrom’s stuff is nasty sufficient to play in opposition to anybody, nevertheless, and that exhibits within the PvB. I’m not an enormous BvP man, however we now have over 220 PA of deGrom vs this Nats lineup leading to a .250 xwOBA allowed with 32% punch outs. He’s my highest graded pitcher each time he toes the rubber, and I received’t be overthinking it in money video games on Friday evening.
Glasnow is under deGrom in value, however nonetheless costly. I do suppose the presence of clear primary deGrom will decrease Glasnow’s possession. Early OWN% projections have Glasnow coming in beneath 20%, which I like. His strikeouts have additionally been on one other stage because the begin of 2020, and he has been even higher this season. He added a brand new slider heading into 2021, and is throwing it almost a 3rd of the time. This new pitch makes it actually exhausting for offenses, particularly when his fastball and curve are so good. For the reason that begin of 2017, solely Lourdes Gurriel has a wOBA north of .310 vs sliders. This lineup additionally struggles with curveballs. Over his final 60 PA vs this Jays lineup, he owns a strikeout fee of 33%. I like Glasnow in all codecs tonight, and will even see pairing him along with deGrom.
That is somebody that I used to actively stack in opposition to in DFS. As soon as a uncooked pitcher, it appears just like the Sand Man has turned a nook and actually discovered easy methods to pitch on the main league stage. The query was by no means his stuff, but when and when he would put all of it collectively. He boasts career-highs in each swinging strike fee and strikeout fee this season, and went and not using a stroll in his final begin. Even when his strikeout stuff isn’t working, he can fight a lineup with sturdy groundball potential. He confronted the Giants in his final begin, and turned in simply 16 DK factors after permitting 4 runs. I hope the sport log retains him low-owned, as a result of I don’t suppose that tells the complete story. Alcantara was dominating for six innings, and simply ran out of gasoline his final journey to the mound. The Giants will pack the lefties in vs him tonight, however I believe he’s $1,000 too low-cost. He’s my favourite mid-tier play immediately and I count on him to come back in lower-owned than Alex Wooden on this similar recreation.
Written by Ben Hossler (Comply with @BenHossler on Twitter)