MLS Golden Boot Odds Favor LAFC’s Carlos Vela (+375) and Diego Rossi (+450)

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Diego Rossi

Los Angeles FC ahead Diego Rossi (9) celebrates his purpose in opposition to Tigres with defender Tristan Blackmon (27) and ahead Carlos Vela (10) throughout the second half of a CONCACAF Champions League soccer match Tuesday, Dec. 22, 2020, in Orlando, Fla. (AP Picture/John Raoux)

  • MLS Golden Boot odds favor the winner coming from LAFC
  • 2018 winner Josef Martínez is coming off an harm and has odds of +700
  • Learn on to see the percentages for the favorites, contenders, longshots and our greatest guess to complete as prime scorer this season

The 2021 MLS season kicks off later this week and which means the race to say the MLS Golden Boot Award additionally will get rolling with loads of candidates in line to complete because the league’s prime goalscorer.

With out too many big-name offseason signings coming into the league as of now, it’s a number of acquainted faces close to the highest of the percentages board, no matter how a few of these names completed final season.

The LAFC duo of Carlos Vela and Diego Rossi are almost co-favored, adopted by Seattle’s Raul Ruidiaz and Atlanta’s Josef Martínez to spherical out the highest 4.

Will the winner come from this group or is there higher worth digging a bit of deeper down the board?

MLS Golden Boot Odds

Participant (Staff) 2020 MLS Objectives Odds
Carlos Vela (LAFC) 4 +375
Diego Rossi (LAFC) 14 +450
Raul Ruidiaz (SEA) 12 +600
Josef Martinez (ATL) 0 +700
Gonzalo Higuain (MIA) 2 +1100
Kacper Pryzbylko (PHI) 8 +1100
Gyasi Zardes (CLB) 12 +1400
Alejandro Pozuelo (TOR) 9 +1600
Jeremy Ebobisse (POR) 8 +2000
Chris Mueller (ORL) 10 +2200
Lucas Zelarayan (CLB) 6 +2500
Robert Beric (CHI) 12 +2800
Alan Pulido (SKC) 6 +2800
Brenner (CIN) +3000
Javier Hernandez (LA) 2 +3000
Nani (ORL) 6 +3300
Jozy Altidore (TOR) 2 +4000
Valentin Castellanos (NYC) 6 +5000
Cecilio Dominguez (AUS) +5000
Chris Wondolowski (SJ) 7 +5000
Teal Bunbury (NE) 8 +6000
Jurgen Locadia (CIN) 1 +6000
Romell Quioto (MTL) 8 +6000
Gustavo Bou (NE) 5 +6600
Bradley Wright-Phillips (CLB) 8 +6600
Damir Kreilach (RSL) 8 +7500
Diego Rubio (COL) 3 +8000

Odds as of Apr 13 at DraftKings

The Favorites for MLS Golden Boot

While you’re the league’s highest-scoring crew in every of the previous two seasons and the second-highest scoring crew in 2018 throughout your enlargement yr, it makes excellent sense to see LAFC’s Carlos Vela and Diego Rossi because the top-two favorites.

LAFC scored 68 objectives in 2018, solely two behind Atlanta’s 70, 85 objectives in 2019, 22 greater than second-place NYCFC and 47 final yr, three greater than Philadelphia.

Vela could have solely had 4 objectives final season, however he missed loads of time with a knee harm. Oddsmakers are clearly anticipating him to return to 2019 kind when he scored 34 objectives and received the Golden Boot. And even the 2018 kind which noticed him rating 14 instances. Fourteen is the precise quantity of objectives that Rossi tallied in final yr’s COVID-shortened season, which noticed him win the award.

Atlanta United lead the league in objectives in 2018, and Josef Martínez had loads to do with that by scoring 34 objectives and profitable the Golden Boot. He scored one other 27 in 2019, however he performed only one recreation final season earlier than struggling a torn ACL.

Josef is again and has already performed within the CONCACAF Champions League (CCL). With a brand new coach in Gabriel Heinze who will hopefully restore a few of Atlanta’s offensive swagger, Martínez shall be seeking to get again into the shape which noticed him rating 82 objectives in 92 common season and playoff appearances for the 5 Stripes from 2017-2019.

Seattle’s Ruidiaz has scored double-digit regular-season objectives in every of his three seasons in Seattle and he’s performed so at a formidable charge. His ten objectives in 2018 got here in simply 14 appearances, 11 objectives in 2019 have been in 22 and he scored 12 final yr whereas enjoying 17 instances. He’s additionally tallied 9 objectives in ten profession playoff video games for the Sounders as properly.

Higuaín, Zardes, Ebobisse Amongst Contenders

When Inter Miami introduced Gonzalo Higuaín to city final season they clearly had hopes that he may probably be lifting this award with the Herons. Higuaín didn’t precisely hit the bottom operating final yr, however then once more that could possibly be stated for Miami as a complete. With a full offseason and common season with the crew, he actually ought to be in line so as to add to his 238 profession objectives. He’s although, now 33 and has not scored in double-digits because the 2017-18 season.

Just one participant completed with extra objectives than Columbus’ Gyasi Zardes final yr and that was Rossi, the Golden Boot winner. Zardes completed second with 12 objectives, tied alongside each Ruidiaz and Chicago’s Robert Berić. Columbus is stacked this yr and their depth may permit Caleb Porter to handle the US worldwide’s minutes. Talking of, with worldwide responsibility looming, which means he’ll miss a while in MLS, I’d depart him off my ticket. That is additionally vital to remember for gamers like Rossi (Uruguay) and Ruidiaz (Peru) this summer time.

Jeremy Ebobisse has continued to enhance and appears to have grabbed the beginning striker function. He was rolling final yr previous to sustaining a concussion. With Sebastian Blanco injured for a lot of the common season, the Timbers scoring charts regarded fairly balanced at yr’s finish. Ebobisse had eight, so too did Diego Valeri, whereas Felipe Mora and Jaroslaw Niezgoda every had seven. Niezgoda can also be recovering from an harm and can miss time this season. However when everyone seems to be within the lineup, the objectives could possibly be unfold out for the Timbers.

Previous 10 MLS Golden Boot Winners

Yr Participant (Staff) Objectives
2020 Diego Rossi (LAFC) 14
2019 Carlos Vela (LAFC) 34
2018 Josef Martinez (ATL) 31
2017 Nemanja Nikolic (CHI) 24
2016 Bradley Wright-Phillips (NYRB) 24
2015 Sebastian Giovinco (TOR) 22
2014 Bradley Wright-Phillips (NYRB) 27
2013 Camilo Sanvezzo (VAN) 22
2012 Chris Wondolowski (SJ) 27
2011 Dwayne De Rosario (DC) 16

Longshots and Not Even On the Checklist

Alejandro Pozuelo and Jozy Altidore discover themselves on this record, however Pozuelo is extra of a setup man and Jozy’s well being is all the time a priority. You do have the additional benefit with Pozuelo although in that he’ll be taking penalties and lead the league in PK makes an attempt final yr. Altidore already pulled up with a hamstring harm in TFC’s first CCL recreation in opposition to Leon. Anticipating him to be main the road for a full season appears unlikely.

Coming off an harm of his personal, we haven’t seen younger star Ayo Akinola but for TFC in 2021, however he scored 9 objectives in simply 15 matches final season. He additionally had the best goals-per-90 at 0.76 in keeping with FBRef. If he strikes right into a full-time beginning function quickly this season and doesn’t get bought, he may make an look in future up to date odds and be value a flier.

New England isn’t getting a ton of affection for MLS Cup. They’re +1800 at DraftKings, however nonetheless +2500 at some books. Neither is striker Gustavo Bou who’s a large +6600 for the Golden Boot. He missed a while final yr and scored simply 5 objectives in 18 appearances, however stormed onto the scene in 2019 with 9 objectives in 14 matches. In 2020 he took the third-most pictures within the league at 63. If Carles Gil stays wholesome within the midfield and may pull the strings for the Revs’ offense, Bou ought to profit.

The perfect worth on your cash could come from the center of the percentages board. Lucas Zelarayan (+2500) ought to put up loads of stats with Columbus. Whereas Alan Pulido (+2800) was Sporting Kansas Metropolis’s record-breaking switch final yr however solely performed in 12 video games attributable to harm. He did rating six objectives in these video games although.

Berić (+2800) was tied in second total for objectives final season and Javier Hernandez will certainly be on the lookout for an improved second yr in MLS. There’s no extra Cristian Pavon in LA (for now), so Chicharito must step up. However LA may even want to determine how one can use him successfully.

And if you’d like a newcomer, then Brenner is your man. Arguably the largest offseason addition to MLS this season, he seems to be the point of interest of Cincinnati’s offense. The Brazilian youth worldwide from Sao Paulo signed a contract value reportedly $13-million. However I simply can’t see Cincinnati producing the Golden Boot winner after what we’ve seen from them to this point in MLS. However be at liberty to show me incorrect FCC.

MLS Golden Boot Finest Guess

We are able to break down every participant on this record for days, however when it comes right down to it, barring an entire breakout yr from somebody additional down or some critical accidents, one of the best guess must be Vela.

He already made his return from harm in the direction of the tip of final yr and regarded no worse for put on. He and coach Bob Bradley shall be seeking to rebound after final season. LAFC seems stronger than ever and may nonetheless add one other DP this season. They’re going to attain objectives and a number of these are going to return from Vela.

However if you wish to get a bit of extra fascinating with this, then my longshot guess is Berić in Chicago. The Hearth didn’t make the playoffs final yr, however they did lead the East in anticipated objectives (xG) at 38.9. Solely Seattle and LAFC had the next xG within the league.

Berić was third in xG personally at 10.1, took the fourth-most pictures with 60 and had the third-most pictures on the right track at 27.

Finest Guess: Carlos Vela (+375)
Longshot Guess: Robert Berić (+2800)





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