NFL Week 8 Picks Straight Up

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Detroit Lions quarterback Jared Goff throughout the first half of an NFL soccer recreation towards the Los Angeles Rams Sunday, Oct. 24, 2021, in Inglewood, Calif. (AP Picture/Marcio Jose Sanchez)

  • The Seahawks can’t win with out Russell Wilson and we don’t see that altering towards the underdog Jaguars
  • Overdue for a victory, can the Detroit Lions get off the schneid towards the Philadelphia Eagles?
  • Final week’s picks went 2-1, profitable 2.68 models and bringing our season whole to +14.27 (11-8 file)

Within the spirit of Halloween, our Week 7 picks had been a profitable deal with. And but I can’t assist however really feel tricked by the Seattle Seahawks, who as soon as once more had the ball late with an opportunity to drive for the win and promptly went backwards, ruining our shot at an ideal week.

Trying on the traces for Week 8, it must be much more aggressive than final weekend’s motion that noticed a mean margin of victory of 18.6 factors heading into the Monday Nighter. However whereas the rating of that sloppy, wet affair was shut, it was clear the aspect we backed had little interest in truly profitable that recreation. Now’s our likelihood to get some revenge on these cowardly Seahawks, who’re favored at residence. Naturally, their opponent leads off this week’s upset picks.

NFL Week 8 Upset Picks

Matchup Unfold Moneyline Decide Models
Jacksonville Jaguars vs Seattle Seahawks SEA -4 +165 Jaguars 1.5
Philadelphia Eagles vs Detroit Lions PHI -3.5 +164 Lions 1.5

Odds as of October twenty ninth at DraftKings and FanDuel.

Seahawks Can’t Run Away From Points

Nonetheless trying to find their first win with Geno Smith, oddsmakers assume the Seattle Seahawks are poised to get it this weekend as four-point favorites over Jacksonville at residence. Having watched this workforce carefully during the last two weeks, I heartily disagree with that prediction.

It’s one factor for Pete Carroll to play ultra-conservative soccer when he has Russell Wilson to bail him out: whenever you’re operating the ball into eight man packing containers then asking Smith to transform on third and lengthy, that’s simply referred to as dropping soccer.

Seattle hasn’t had a Legion of Increase degree protection in over 5 years. They should rating factors to win video games, but their offensive strategy towards the Saints was to disregard their high two weapons of DK Metcalf and Tyler Lockett and as an alternative, hold operating the ball into the enamel of one of many league’s greatest defenses.

We’re not going to confuse 1-5 Jacksonville with the Saints, however the Jags are alright at stopping the run. They’re tied for fourth within the league, holding opponents to simply 3.8 yards per carry. The Jags have additionally held 4 of their final 5 opponents below 100 yards, with the one exception being the person no one can cease, Derrick Henry in Week 5. We gained’t speak about Jacksonville’s dreadful move protection: 1) as a result of that doesn’t assist my argument and a pair of) as a result of the Seahawks aren’t going to check it anyway.

The Jaguars have their very own teaching points to fret about too, however proper now the one factor that issues is Trevor Lawrence’s growth. And up to now, that’s going effectively. The primary general decide has rebounded from some tough early outings and is displaying enhancements each week. Earlier than the bye, he lead the Jaguars to their first win in 20 video games, ending the NFL’s second longest dropping streak in historical past.

James Robinson can be operating the ball like probably the greatest backs within the league, so both approach, the Jags ought to be capable of transfer the ball towards this uninspiring Seahawks D.

What makes this upset decide particularly enjoyable is the Darrell Bevell revenge issue. The longtime Seahawks scapegoat is now the Jaguars offensive coordinator and but the conservative offense he was blamed for continues in Seattle. Assume he’ll use this Sunday to make an announcement about aggressive offense towards his former workforce?

No Lion, Detroit Will get Their First Win

The two-5 Philadelphia Eagles are usually not enjoying effectively, however they’re a favourite by default this week, getting 3.5 factors in Detroit towards the winless Lions.

It’s particularly humorous to make this decide proper after bashing Pete Carroll, as a result of Dan Campbell’s strategy to the sport couldn’t be extra the alternative. He’s nonetheless in search of his first win as Lions head coach, however it actually hasn’t come for lack of making an attempt.

Campbell is aware of Detroit’s expertise doesn’t stack as much as the remainder of the league, however his workforce has stayed in loads of video games by staying aggressive. If he continues that strategy and makes use of all 4 downs towards this Eagles D, Jared Goff and firm will not often come off the sector. Philly’s two-high protection is so centered on stopping the deep shot, they’re permitting offenses to do every thing else fairly simply.

The Lions move protection is abysmal, so bettors could also be pondering that the Eagles offense can cowl this unfold singlehandedly. However in the event you’re solely accustomed to Jalen Hurts from his stellar fantasy performances, then do I’ve some information for you: he’s not an excellent passer. In any respect.

Since an electrical Week 1 recreation towards the lowly Falcons D, most of Hurts stats have are available rubbish time. He can’t appear to attach along with his receivers till the Eagles are down 20 within the fourth quarter. And positive, if there’s one workforce you’d like your possibilities of pulling off a late comeback towards, it’d be these unfortunate Lions. However given how hungry Campbell appears to have his workforce for that first W, I don’t assume Detroit will give up a lead after they get one on Sunday.

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