Novak Djokovic vs Lorenzo Sonego Odds & Prediction

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Novak Djokovic celebrating with a fist pump after winning a point during a tennis match.

Serbia’s Novak Djokovic celebrates after profitable some extent to Greece’s Stefanos Tsitsipas throughout their quarter-final match on the Italian Open tennis match, in Rome, Saturday, Could 15, 2021. (AP Photograph/Gregorio Borgia)

  • Unseeded Lorenzo Sonego, having the match of his life in Rome, faces Novak Djokovic within the semifinals
  • The 26-year-old Italian has upset three seeds on his option to the ultimate 4
  • Djokovic is a big favourite; we break down the place the worth is likely to be for the underdog

Lorenzo Sonego’s rise has been overshadowed by the hype round much-younger countrymen Jannik Sinner and Lorenzo Musetti.

However at 26, his time has come.

Novak Djokovic vs Lorenzo Sonego Odds

Participant Unfold Moneyline Complete at DraftKings
[1] Novak Djokovic -5.5 (+108) -835 O 19.5 (-132)
Lorenzo Sonego (ITA) +5.5 (-137) +575 U 19.5 (+104)

Odds as of Could fifteenth.

Sonego, the Seed Killer

If Djokovic would possibly fairly have anticipated to face No. 4 seed Dominic Thiem or No. 7 Andrey Rublev in Saturday’s Italian Open semifinals, he finds himself towards the sudden.

The unseeded Sonego, after caring for rusty No. 14 seed Gaël Monfils in his opening match, took care of each of them.

On Saturday, after some late-night heroics towards Thiem in Thursday’s quarterfinals – which included a 20-minute break as they needed to filter the gang with the Rome curfew approaching – the 26-year-old took care of Rublev 3-6, 6-4, 6-3.

It was a match that took two hours and 33 minutes, and extracted as a lot emotional as bodily vitality from the first-time Masters 1000 semifinalist.

To should tackle the world No. 1 on the exact same day is a big problem.

Novak Djokovic vs Lorenzo Sonego Head-to-Head

33 (Could 22, 1987) Age 26 (Could 11, 1995)
Belgrade, Serbia Birthplace Turin, Italy
6-2 Top 6-3
82 Profession ATP Singles Titles 2
No. 1 (July 4, 2011) Profession Excessive Rating No. 28 (April 12, 2021)
No. 1 Present Rating  No. 33
$147,820,035 Profession Prize Cash $2,265,598
15-2 2021 Received/Loss report 15-8
0 Profession Head-to-Head 1

Italian Crowd a Function Participant on Tremendous Saturday

If Djokovic was desultory throughout half certainly one of his eventual win over Stefanos Tsitsipas Friday, it was partly because of the truth that the situations have been moist, depressing and soggy.

He was having extra hassle hitting by the moist courtroom than the extra highly effective Tsitsipas. And the stops and begins clearly aggravated him way over his 22-year-old Greek opponent.

Ultimately, the match was referred to as off Friday evening. And when he returned on a dry, sunny Saturday, and with as huge a crowd because the Italian COVID-19 protocols allow, he was a distinct participant.

He fought off Tsitsipas when he served for the match within the third set. And he broke him to win it.

Djokovic is a massively common participant on the Italian Open, partially as a result of he speaks the language. He has received it 5 instances.

However towards the Italian Sonego, the gang must be squarely and vocally for his opponent. That’s all the time an … attention-grabbing dynamic for the Serb.

Novak Djokovic vs Lorenzo Sonego Match Historical past

12 months Match Floor Rating Winner
2020 Vienna (QF) Indoor Arduous 6-2, 6-1 Sonego

Sonego Leads Head-to-Head 1-0

On the time, you couldn’t think about the following time Djokovic and Sonego would meet could be the semifinals of Rome.

However whereas Sonego has that win over the world No. 1 in his pocket perpetually – and performed some nifty clay-court model drop pictures on an indoor laborious courtroom to do it – it comes with a couple of asterisks.

Djokovic took a wild card into the match, performed a few weeks after the autumn version of the French Open, with one goal in thoughts, securing the No. 1.

Along with his victory over Borna Coric within the earlier spherical, that was mission achieved. Djokovic was ripe for the choosing for the largest win of Sonego’s profession to this point.

The circumstances Saturday are utterly totally different. Having resurrected himself Saturday to get previous Tsitsipas – afterwards, he referred to as it “his hardest match of the 12 months” – he received’t wish to waste that effort and go right down to a pretender. Even a pretender on a significant roll.

Djokovic a Enormous Favourite, however Alternatives Exist

The Serb’s expertise will make it simpler for him to deal with the turnaround, the event, and the gang.

Djokovic turns 34 in per week. However his health received’t be in query. And he performed much less tennis than his opponent in his first match Saturday.

The chances are extra engaging for a straight-sets win, by quite a bit. And the underneath of 19.5 (at +104), or one thing like a 6-4, 6-3 Djokovic victory, look fairly good as nicely.

Greatest Guess: Djokovic in two units (-230)

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