Opening UFC 264 Odds & Early Picks

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UFC 264 Opening Odds & Early Picks - McGregor vs Poirier

Conor McGregor celebrates after his battle with Dustin Poirier in Las Vegas. With a 12 months of beautiful taunts and verbal roundhouses, McGregor has dominated the promotion of his wildly anticipated UFC showdown with Jose Aldo. (AP Picture/John Locher,File)

  • Conor McGregor and Dustin Poirier have their trilogy battle in the principle occasion of UFC 264
  • Each McGregor and Poirier have TKO wins over one another so how will the third battle play out?
  • Sean O’Malley additionally makes his return in the principle card opener

The UFC is again on the T-Cell Enviornment in Las Vegas, Nevada for a stacked UFC 264 card that goes down on July 10. It’s the primary sold-out UFC occasion in Las Vegas since UFC 248 in March of 2020. Within the UFC 264 opening odds, Dustin Poirier is a small -130 favourite, whereas McGregor is a +108 underdog. Stephen Thompson, in the meantime, is a -155 favourite within the co-main occasion as he faces Gilbert Burns who’s a +125 underdog.

UFC 264 principal card airs reside on pay-per-view at 10 PM EST on July 10. The desk beneath exhibits odds for the principle card at DraftKings and early picks for the cardboard.

UFC 264 Opening Odds

Fighter Odds at DraftKings
Dustin Poirier -130
Conor McGregor +108
Fighter Odds
Gilbert Burns +125
Stephen Thompson -155
Fighter Odds
Tai Tuivasa -143
Greg Hardy +115
Fighter Odds
Irene Aldana -125
Yana Kunitskaya +100
Fighter Odds
Sean O’Malley -835
Kris Moutinho +525

Odds as of July 5

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Will McGregor Actual His Revenge?

Conor McGregor enters UFC 264 in a novel spot as this might very effectively be do-or-die for his profession as he has his trilogy battle towards Dustin Poirier. They first met in 2014 the place McGregor earned a first-round TKO, however it was Poirier who acquired his revenge again in January with a second-round TKO win.

McGregor enters this battle being simply 1-3 in his final 4, together with the Mayweather boxing match, and if he loses on Saturday he’d drop to 1-4, and plenty of would marvel if he’s performed. Poirier, in the meantime, handed over a title shot to face McGregor once more, and if he loses, many would query his decide as he would then be a few wins away from preventing for UFC gold.

Forward of the battle, I spoke to McGregor’s principal coaching associate in Artem Lobov who stated the Irishman ignored Poirier again in January and was extra centered on boxing coaching as he had a deal in place to field Manny Pacquiao if he beat Poirier. Now, after the loss, Lobov says the Irishman is again to being centered and even left Eire to be away from mates, household, and all distractions.

Poirier & McGregor Current Fights

Conor McGregor, win by TKO Combat 1 Dustin Poirier, loss by TKO
Dan Hooker, win by determination Combat 2 Donald Cerrone, win by TKO
Khabib Nurmagomedov, loss by submission (title battle) Combat 3 Khabib Nurmagomedov, loss by submission (title battle)
Max Holloway, win by determination (interim title battle) Combat 4 Floyd Mayweather, loss by TKO (boxing battle)

Poirier, in the meantime, seems to be able to observe the identical gameplan, his power and conditioning coach, Phil Daru advised me. “The Diamond” will doubtless assault the legs early and try to wrestle McGregor to gasoline him out. That plan labored again in January, however it’s unsure it’s going to work once more right here.

Again in January, I picked McGregor to win when he was round a -300 favourite, and early on he had loads of success. He gained the primary spherical and landed some heavy photographs all through the battle. But, it was the calf that gave out however this time I do assume the Irishman will have the ability to verify the kicks. As soon as that occurs, I feel his putting will solely get higher as his timing was off early because of the lack of Octagon, however on Saturday evening, I foresee McGregor getting again into the win column with a third-round TKO.

Choose: Conor McGregor (+108)

Does Thompson Earn a Title Shot With a Win?

Gilbert Burns is coming off a TKO loss to Kamaru Usman for the welterweight title again in February. Stephen Thompson, in the meantime, is on a two-fight profitable streak and eventually will get an opportunity to battle somebody forward of him within the rankings.

Burns & Thompson Current Fights

Kamaru Usman, loss by TKO (title battle) Combat 1 Geoff Neal, win by determination
Tyron Woodley, win by determination Combat 2 Vicente Luque, win by determination
Demian Maia, win by KO Combat 3 Anthony Pettis, loss by KO
Gunnar Nelson, win by determination Combat 4 Darren Until, loss by determination

This can be a fascinating matchup that sees arguably the perfect jiu-jitsu fighter at welterweight in Burns, who takes on arguably the perfect striker in Thompson. Who wins this battle actually comes all the way down to the place this battle takes place. On the ft, Thompson is so technical that he ought to have the ability to decide aside Burns and keep away from the massive overhand proper. If it hits the bottom, there’s a likelihood the Brazilian will get a submission win.

In the end, Thompson has an excellent takedown protection, and I anticipate he’ll have the ability to hold it standing and win a clear-cut determination.

Choose: Stephen Thompson (-155)

Different Early UFC 264 Picks:

  1. Tai Tuivasa (-143): We all know the place Hardy is at in his profession, and I anticipate him to gasoline out after the primary spherical and Tuivasa to get the second or third-round TKO win.
  2. Irene Aldana (-125): This can be a tremendous shut battle, however Aldana ought to have the ability to hold it standing and get a choice win.
  3. Sean O’Malley (-835): Moutinho stepped up on simply days’ discover to maintain O’Malley on the cardboard, and this battle is a setup for O’Malley to get a highlight-reel KO early.

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