Packers vs Bears Odds, Strains, and Picks

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Aaron Rodgers chased by Khalil Mack

Inexperienced Bay Packers’ Aaron Rodgers tries to get away from Chicago Bears’ Khalil Mack in the course of the second half of an NFL soccer recreation Sunday, Dec. 15, 2019, in Inexperienced Bay, Wis. (AP Picture/Matt Ludtke)

  • The Inexperienced Bay Packers go to the Chicago Bears in a battle for first within the NFC North
  • Sunday Betting Document: 0-0 ML; 2-2 ATS; 1-1 O/U; -1.70 models
  • Learn beneath for odds, evaluation and a betting prediction

After a sluggish begin and a change in QB, the Chicago Bears seem to have turned the nook early within the season.

How far they’ve come can be below the highlight, after they host Aaron Rodgers and the surging Packers, in a battle for first within the NFC North.

Since a Week 1 thrashing, the Pack have reeled off 4 straight wins, backed by stellar QB play and opportunistic protection.

Regardless of the Bears having received two straight, they enter as 5.5-point house underdogs after they kick off at 1pm ET at Soldier Discipline Sunday. The sport could be seen on FOX.

Packers vs Bears Odds

Workforce Moneyline Unfold Complete
Inexperienced Bay Packers -240 -5.5 (-115) O 44 (-110)
Chicago Bears +195 +5.5 (-105) U 44 (-110)

Odds as of  October 15 at DraftKings.

Peaking Packers

It’s simple to overlook Inexperienced Bay was dripping in drama, after Rodgers’ offseason of discontent, adopted by a 38-3 blowout by the hands of the Saints to start out they 12 months.

Since then, it’s been easy crusing — save for possibly Mason Crosby’s kicking woes final trip in an OT win over the Bengals.

Rodgers has been his typical self, throwing 10 TDs to only one interception within the final 4 video games, and he’s preserving Davante Adams properly fed. The Packers’ star receiver is coming off an 11-catch, 206-yard, 1-TD displaying towards the Bengals, and leads the NFL in catches (42) and yards receiving (579).

Their protection has additionally considerably helped. Throughout this streak, they’ve surrendered simply 21 factors a recreation, and have pressured no less than two turnovers in every of the final 4 video games.

One concern in Inexperienced Bay will be the mounting accidents. O-lineman Elgton Jenkins is questionable, and All-Professional left sort out David Bakhtiari stays on the shelf recovering from a knee harm.

Receiver Marquez Valdes-Scantling is on injured reserve, and beginning corners Kevin King and Jaire Alexander are each out Sunday. All-Professional edge rusher Za’Darius Smith can be down with a again harm. That’s a stack of key contributors sitting for the Pack.

All-Round Bears

Since a woeful loss to the Browns, the Bears have found a reasonably NFC North-like method to success — no less than one which’s been working as they bring about younger Justin Fields alongside at QB: working the ball and defending.

Insulating the eleventh total choose with a powerful floor recreation has been essential. Two weeks in the past in a win towards the Lions, David Montgomery established the run, placing up 106 yards on 23 totes and a pair of scores earlier than lacking final recreation with a sprained knee.

In opposition to Vegas, the Bears nonetheless ran for 143 yards behind rookie Khalil Herbert, who rushed for 75 yards on 18 carries, whereas Damian Williams chipped in with 64 yards.

However Montgomery will miss his second straight recreation and Williams can be out too, positioned on the COVID reserve record.

Does that imply the Bears open the passing recreation with Fields? He hasn’t tried greater than 20 passes in a recreation but, and has thrown for simply 458 yards and a TD to date this 12 months. With the Pack’s corners out, there can be downfield photographs to take.

The protection can be requested to be stout on this one, they usually have an opportunity to carry up their finish of the cut price. Chicago has climbed to eighth in complete D, sparked largely to a league-leading 18 sacks. Khalil Mack and Robert Quinn have met on the QB for a mixed 9.5 sacks and can be working towards a dinged up Packers’ line.

What’s the Finest Wager?

It’s onerous to wager towards Rodgers on this one, as he’s simply the perfect participant on the sector and has dominated this sequence. Inexperienced Bay has received 19 of the previous 22 head-to-heads together with the postseason. Rodgers can be 21-5 in begins  towards the Bears.

However there are alternatives available right here for the house staff. Inexperienced Bay is a far cry from the red-zone juggernaut they had been a 12 months in the past. They’ve already failed to attain a TD on 9 drives within the pink zone. That occurred 12 occasions all final 12 months.

Defensively, it’s a nightmare: the Packers enter Week 6 having allowed a TD in 13 straight pink zone journeys. They’re additionally twenty seventh in third down protection.

I feel the Pack win, however there’s sufficient to persuade me to take these factors.

Choose: Bears +5.5 (1.5 models to win 1.92 models)

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