Panthers Purchase Sam Darnold, Do not See Any Motion in Their 2021 NFL Win Whole


Sam Darnold, QB, New York Jets

New York Jets quarterback Sam Darnold (14) reacts after throwing an interception throughout an NFL soccer sport in opposition to the Miami Dolphins, Sunday, Nov. 29, 2020, in East Rutherford, N.J. (AP Photograph/Adam Starvation)

  • The Carolina Panthers acquired quarterback Sam Darnold from the New York Jets in a commerce made on Monday
  • Regardless of the acquisition, Carolina’s projected win whole for the 2021 NFL season stays unchanged at 7.5
  • The Panthers are already confirming that they may choose up the fifth-year possibility on Darnold’s contract, which means he’ll be with Carolina via the 2022 season

Each side concerned in Monday’s Sam Darnold commerce – the New York Jets and Carolina Panthers – had been searching for to spin the transfer as a win-win state of affairs. Bookmakers, nonetheless, aren’t seeing it as a state of affairs that may result in extra wins for the Panthers.

The Panthers added quarterback Darnold from the Jets in a deal consummated on Monday. In return, the Jets are receiving a 2021 sixth-round draft choose, in addition to second- and fourth-round alternatives in 2022.

Within the 2021 NFL win totals, although, the Panthers are nonetheless treading water. Oddsmakers had been itemizing Carolina’s win whole at 7.5 previous to the commerce. After the dealing was carried out, the quantity stays at 7.5 wins.

Carolina Panthers 2021 NFL Win Whole Odds

Workforce Win Whole at DraftKings Over Odds Below Odds
Carolina Panthers 7.5 -110 -110

Odds as of April fifth, 2021.

These Darnold Panthers

Are the Panthers higher in the present day with Darnold beneath middle as an alternative of Teddy Bridgewater, final yr’s starter? The Jets had been 13-25 with Darnold as their #1 QB, although it might be patently unfair to pin all that was incorrect with the Jets on the shoulders of their QB.

In three seasons after the Jets claimed Darnold with the third choose of the 2018 NFL Draft, he’s produced a 59.8% completion share. He’s averaging 213.1 passing yards per sport. His passer ranking is a dismal 78.6.

Darnold threw for 45 touchdowns in opposition to 39 interceptions. He additionally missed time every season via damage or sickness.

Alternatively, in his first season as Carolina’s starter, Bridgewater handed for 3,733 yards, a 69.1% completion share, a 92.1 passer ranking, and 15 TDs in opposition to 11 picks.

In reality, CBS sports activities analysis analyst Stephen Oh crunched the numbers and the analytics are suggesting the Carolina can be higher off with Bridgewater beneath middle. With Darnold calling alerts as an alternative of Bridgewater, Carolina’s profitable share drops by 7.5% and the Panthers’ probabilities of taking part in postseason soccer goes down by 11.2%.

The Panthers are already confirming that they’ll be exercising the fifth-year possibility on Darnold’s contract, retaining him in Carolina via the 2022 season. It will seem the Panthers have already made the decision on their future beginning QB.


That’s a Robust Slate

Even with the NFL growing the size of its season to 17 video games, discovering an eighth win figures to be difficult for the Panthers. Within the NFC South, they’re housed with the defending Tremendous Bowl champion Tampa Bay Buccaneers.  Which ex-AFC East QB would you slightly roll with – Darnold or Tom Brady?

Carolina will play Tampa Bay twice and likewise will get a pair with the perennial good New Orleans Saints. Even with out Drew Brees, the Saints will stay powerful to beat.

The Panthers additionally face a house sport with the NFC East champion Washington Soccer Workforce. Street journeys embody visits to Buffalo, Miami and Arizona.

New England involves Carolina as effectively. Didn’t the Patriots QB used to play for the Panthers?

Oh, and you already know who else visits Carolina this season? The Jets, that’s who. That should be attention-grabbing.

Are USC QBs Cursed?

A whole lot of USC QBs get to play within the NFL. There’s no disputing that truth. Not loads of them trend Corridor of Fame careers, although.

Mark Sanchez acquired the Jets to a pair of AFC Championship Video games. Nevertheless, he’s destined to be remembered for the butt fumble. Carson Palmer put up nice numbers however was 1-3 within the postseason.

Is Darnold going so as to add his title to a prolonged checklist of underachievers/busts that features Matt Leinart, Pat Haden and Todd Marinovich?

Onerous to Envision an Improve

Bridgewater got here from success with an ideal workforce (the Saints) and couldn’t turnaround the Panthers. Darnold is coming from a nasty program searching for to improve one other poor workforce.

It helps that the Panthers weren’t required to surrender any roster property to get Darnold. Now they’ll use their eighth general draft choose to improve one other place.

Nonetheless, it’s tough to view Darnold as a step up over Bridgewater.

Decide: Below 7.5 wins (-110).

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