Rafael Nadal vs Cameron Norrie Odds & Prediction

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Nadal vs Norrie

Spain’s Rafael Nadal gestures throughout a match towards Japan’s Kei Nishikori through the Godo tennis event in Barcelona, Spain, Thursday, April 22, 2021. (AP Picture/Joan Monfort)

  • Rafael Nadal is the overwhelming favourite in Barcelona versus Cameron Norrie on Friday, at 10:00 am EDT
  • The outright event favourite has wanted three units to get by his first two matches
  • Does Norrie have an opportunity of at the least beating the unfold? We break it down beneath

Rafael Nadal is sort of with out exception the massive favourite each time he performs on his beloved purple clay. However -2500 towards a top-60 participant? That’s legendary. That’s the present odds within the Nadal vs Norrie on this Barcelona Open Quarterfinal match on Friday.

Rafael Nadal vs Cameron Norrie Odds

Participant Unfold Moneyline Whole at DraftKings
[1] Rafael Nadal (ESP) -6.5 (-121) -2500 O 17.5 (-132)
Cameron Norrie (GBR) +6.5 (-105) +1300 U 17.5 (+105)

Odds as of April 22

Three-Setters in First Two Matches for Nadal

Nadal – who is also the large favourite to win the Barcelona Open outright – was rusty and underperformed a little bit in Monte-Carlo final week.

He hoped coming house could be the key salve.

“I hope that this help in entrance of my individuals helps me to enhance,” the Mallorcan stated upon arrival in Barcelona, the place he has gained the event 11 instances.

However Nadal wanted three units to get previous qualifier Ilya Ivashka in his opening match.

After which, the 34-year-old additionally wanted to go the space towards two-time former champion Kei Nishikori Thursday within the third spherical.

And that was after Nadal dropped a tennis bagel on the Japanese star within the first set.

(Enjoyable truth: Nadal has by no means in his profession in three-set matches defeated an opponent 6-0, 6-0).

Nishikori Mounts Robust Resistance in Defeat

With Ivashka, Nadal needed to get previous his inevitable opening-match jitters, as he additionally confronted a 27-year-old opponent he’d by no means seen earlier than.

However towards Nishikori on the Spanish clay, regardless of Nadal’s dominant 11-2 head-to-head document, there was some historical past.

Nadal defeated Nishikori, who had gained the event the earlier two years, within the 2016 Barcelona last.

However within the 2014 Madrid last, Nishikori was having his method with the clay immortal. He was up a set and a break, earlier than lastly having to retire down 0-3 within the third set with leg and hip points.

On Thursday, each of them 5 years older and Nishikori removed from peak 2016 type, Nadal finally prevailed 6-0, 2-6, 6-2.

Norrie a Relative Unknown to Nadal

Norrie, 25, has been on the ATP Tour for just a few years now after a standout NCAA profession at Texas Christian College.

However he and Nadal had by no means performed till the third spherical of this yr’s Australian Open.

“I believe he clearly has not likely received many weaknesses, so I’m simply going to should do what I do in addition to I can and implement my recreation and attempt to play the factors on my phrases,” Norrie stated earlier than that match. “In any other case if he’s the one dictating, it’s gonna be powerful and I’m gonna be operating round so much.”

Norrie, a fellow lefty, acquitted himself fairly nicely on the day.

However this one, on the purple clay in Spain, may be very far more on Nadal’s phrases.

Rafael Nadal vs Cameron Norrie Earlier Match

12 months Event Rating Winner
2021 Australian Open (R32) 7-5, 6-2, 7-5 Nadal

Nadal In opposition to Fellow Lefties

Some lefties have bother towards fellow southpaws, principally as a result of they don’t face them that always.

Nadal’s profitable proportion towards lefties (86-percent) is even larger than it’s towards righties (76-percent). He’s higher towards southpaws in almost each statistical class.

Nadal final loss to a lefty on clay was when Horacio Zeballos (now a doubles specialist) shocked him the ultimate of a event in Chile in 2013.

That stated, he’s solely confronted three during the last yr, together with the match towards Norrie in Melbourne.

Rafael Nadal vs Cameron Norrie Head-to-Head

34 (June 3, 1986) Age 25 (Aug. 23, 1995)
Manacor, Mallorca Birthplace Johannesburg, South Africa
6-1 Top 6-2
86 Profession ATP Singles Titles 0
No. 1 (Aug. 18, 2008) Profession Excessive Rating No. 41 (Might 20, 2019)
No. 3 Present Rating  No. 58
$123,898,908 Profession Prize Cash $1,614,768
8-2 2021 Gained/Loss document 14-7

Norrie’s Run Ought to Finish Friday

Norrie upset No. 12 seed Karen Khachanov this week.

And he benefited from the retirement of No. 11 seed David Goffin Friday, when the Belgian was down 0-6, 5-3.

The chances towards the Brit are so outsized it’s virtually value taking a small probability – simply in case.

Lightning might strike. Nadal may get a blister. Or hell may even freeze over.

However in the long run, the +6.5 unfold (-105) means a 6-3, 6-3 Nadal victory would nonetheless permit Norrie to cowl. That, at the least, appears throughout the realm of risk.

Greatest Guess: Nadal in two units (-480) 

When you’re betting the Barcelona Open, you’ll want to learn our information to Derby betting forward of subsequent week’s massive race!


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