Rafael Nadal vs Stefanos Tsitsipas Odds & Prediction

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Stefanos Tsitsipas, Barcelona Open

Stefanos Tsitsipas of Greece returns the ball to Jannik Sinner of Italy throughout a semi ultimate Godo tennis event in Barcelona, Spain, Saturday, April 24, 2021. (AP Picture/Joan Monfort)

  • Rafael Nadal is searching for his twelfth profession title on the Barcelona Open, Sunday at 10 am EDT
  • Stefanos Tsitsipas is hoping to reverse the results of their assembly within the 2018 ultimate, a rout for Nadal
  • Nadal is the favourite;  We break down the matchup and the perfect bets

Rafael Nadal was the overwhelming pre-tournament decide to win outright.

However in his final three matches he has gone from a +2500 favourite, to +590 , to a comparatively modest -182 towards an in-form Stefanos Tsitsipas

Barcelona Open Finals Odds

Participant Unfold Moneyline Whole at DraftKings
[1] Rafael Nadal (ESP) -2.5 (+102) -118 O 22.5 (+100)
[2] Stefanos Tsitsipas (GRE) +2.5 (-129) -108 U 22.5 (+125)

Odds as of April 24

Nadal made good on each of the earlier matches. He defeated Cameron Norrie simply, and made nearly equally fast work of Spaniard Pablo Carreño Busta.

The king of clay introduced a 7-0 head-to-head benefit into the match along with his countryman. And there have been only a few anxious moments in one other pretty routine victory that beat each the video games complete and the unfold, as we predicted.

Barcelona’s ultimate will characteristic the highest two seeds within the event.

Carreño Busta nonetheless hasn’t taken a set off Nadal on the clay. Ever.

Tsitsipas Continues Dominant Methods

Nobody doubts 19-year-old Italian Jannik Sinner is a future champion.

However at this stage of his growth, he doesn’t fairly have the products or the match expertise to rival the highest gamers.

Together with his 6-3, 6-3 loss to Tsitsipas Saturday, Sinner has taken only one set (the very first) in 5 conferences towards top-five ranked gamers.

The match towards Tsitsipas, whom Sinner had overwhelmed in Rome final fall when the Greek was ranked No. 6, confirmed off an opponent who has upped his recreation significantly.

At an hour and 23 minutes, the victory was not bodily draining. And it might need been even simpler had Tsitsipas’s conversion charge on break factors been higher than 30 % (3-of-10).

Tsitsipas might want to do higher than that with the alternatives he could get towards Nadal Sunday.

Rafael Nadal vs Stefanos Tsitsipas Head-to-Head

34 (June 3, 1986) Age 22 Aug. 12, 1998)
Manacor, Mallorca Birthplace Athens, Greece
6-1 Top 6-4
86 Profession ATP Singles Titles 6
No. 1 (Aug. 18, 2008) Profession Excessive Rating No. 5 (Aug. 5, 2019)
No. 3 Present Rating  No. 5
$123,898,908 Profession Prize Cash $13,843,100
10-2 2021 Gained/Loss file 26-5
6 Profession Head-to-Head 2

Final Reminiscence a Tough One for Nadal

Nadal is not going to have forgotten what occurred down in Australia simply two months in the past.

After successful the primary two units of their quarterfinal routinely, he discovered himself in an absolute marathon battle towards Tsitsipas, who prevailed in 5 units within the match of the event.

Nadal additionally may bear in mind their match two years in the past in Madrid, the clay-court occasion Nadal likes least as a result of the altitude helps the ball fly slightly an excessive amount of. That one didn’t go his manner, both.

The tennis laptop in his mind must channel their first assembly, on the identical court docket in Barcelona, three years in the past.

Nadal misplaced simply three video games.

Rafael Nadal vs Stefanos Tsitsipas Match Historical past

12 months Event Floor Rating Winner
2021 Australian Open (QF) Out of doors Exhausting 3-6, 2-6, 7-6 (4), 6-4, 7-5 Tsitsipas
2020 ATP Finals (RR) Indoor Exhausting 6-4, 4-6, 6-2 Nadal
2019 ATP Finals (RR) Indoor Exhausting 6-7 (4) 6-4, 7-5 Nadal
2019 Rome Masters (SF) Clay 6-3, 6-4 Nadal
2019 Madrid Masters (SF) Clay 6-4, 2-6, 6-3 Tsitsipas
2019 Australian Open (SF) Out of doors Exhausting 6-2, 6-4, 6-0 Nadal
2018 Rogers Cup (F) Out of doors Exhausting 6-2, 7-6 (4) Nadal
2018 Barcelona (F) Clay 6-2, 6-1 Nadal

Each Assembly a Huge Match

These two by no means performed when Tsitsipas was rising within the ranks, early-round fodder for the highest guys.

Each assembly has come at large tournaments late within the week, or on the ATP Tour year-end finals.

This time, Tsitsipas is enjoying the perfect clay-court tennis of his life as he prepares to face the perfect clay-court tennis participant ever.

You wouldn’t love his probabilities in a best-of-five on clay. Not but, anyway. However in a best-of-three set match, given the expertise he has now, he appears poised to not less than take a set.

However most likely not the primary set; Nadal has gained the opener in every of his final 14 finals on clay.

Until he actually performs poorly, you’d count on Nadal to prevail – in a protracted one.

Take +100 and the over at 22.5 video games.

Finest Wager: Nadal in three units (+310)


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