Reilly Opelka vs Rafael Nadal Odds & Prediction

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Rafael Nadal hitting a backhand return during a clay court tennis match.

Spain’s Rafael Nadal returns the ball to Canada’s Denis Shapovalov, throughout their third spherical match on the Italian Open tennis match, in Rome, Thursday, Might 13, 2021. (AP Picture/Alessandra Tarantino)

  • Reilly Opelka and Rafael Nadal will face one another within the semifinals of the Italian Open on Saturday, Might fifteenth
  • This would be the first time these two gamers have performed one another
  • Proceed under for this semifinal match odds and the way every participant received so far of the match

The primary semifinal is about in Rome as Reilly Opelka will tackle No. 2 seed Rafael Nadal tomorrow, Saturday, Might fifteenth. The time remains to be TBD.

Like most clay courtroom matches, it’s no shock that after once more, Nadal enters because the heavy favourite with -1250 odds in comparison with Opelka’s +800. However the American has undoubtedly placed on a present this previous week, and has but to drop a set.

Who’s most probably to e-book their spot within the finals right here in Rome? Check out the percentages, and our greatest guess predictions under.

Reilly Opelka vs Rafael Nadal Italian Open Semifinal Odds

Participant Unfold Moneyline Whole at DraftKings
Reilly Opelka +4.5 (+112) +800 Ov 20.5 (-110)
[2] Rafael Nadal -4.5 (-143) -1250 Un 20.5 (-114)

Odds as of Might 14th.

Opelka Serving His Method By Rome

The 23-year previous American has placed on a serving present this match, as he’s recorded a complete of 77 aces over his previous 4 matches. In his quarterfinal win in opposition to Argentine qualifier Federico Delbonis, Opelka recorded 18 aces within the match alone to win 7-5, 7(7)-6(2).

In simply over an hour and a half, the American saved all 4 break factors he confronted, and didn’t lose his serve. He’s really but to lose his serve or a set all match.

With the win Opelka earned his spot within the closing 4 in Rome, and reached his maiden Masters 1000 semifinal. The one factor standing between him and a closing look is the King of Clay, Rafael Nadal.

King of Clay

After a slight scare in his Spherical of 16 match the place he dropped his first set in opposition to Denis Shapovalov, Nadal regarded to have put that behind him, as he simply defeated Alexander Zverev 6-3, 6-4 to earn his spot within the semis.

It was only a week in the past that Zverev defeated Nadal within the quarterfinals of the Madrid Open, however the nine-time champion right here in Rome was in a position to avenge that loss, defeat Zverev, and enhance his head-to-head report in opposition to the German to 6-3.

On his approach to his twelfth semifinal right here in Rome, Nadal landed 70 % of his first serves, and truly discovered success with a 71 % profitable share on his second serve. Rafa constructed a powerful lead of 4-0 to begin the match, however allowed for Zverev to begin to comeback. He then continued to focus on the German’s backhand, which allowed for him to additional his lead, and finally take the match.

The Spaniard is undefeated on the semifinals right here in Rome, boasting a formidable 11-0 report. He’ll be trying to prolong that report as he takes on a a lot much less skilled Opelka on Saturday.

Head-to-Head & Finest Guess

As talked about, this would be the first time these two gamers have seen one another. It’s virtually anticipated that Nadal is right here within the semifinals, however Opelka has undoubtedly shocked a few of us, The 23-year previous has actually labored his manner by way of the match taking part in sturdy tennis. Coming into Rome, Opelka was driving a six-game shedding streak.

Reilly Opelka vs Rafael Nadal Head-to-Head Stats

47 ATP Rankings 3
23 Age 34
2 Profession Singles Titles 87
49/53 Profession Singles W/L 1017/207
0 YTD Singles Titles 1
2/7 YTD Singles W/L 13/3
0 Head-to-Head 0

Once more, do you actually guess in opposition to Nadal on clay? I suppose the reply isn’t as clear because it as soon as was. The 34-year previous remains to be very dominant on the floor, however has dropped a couple of matches right here and there.

Opelka ought to be capable to give Nadal some hassle from his serve. This has been definitely, the American’s strongest a part of his sport this week. However Nadal’s expertise on clay would possibly simply be an excessive amount of for the younger participant.

I feel it might be protected to say that if Opelka was going up in opposition to every other participant with the numbers he’s recorded this week, the percentages can be a lot nearer, he would possibly even be the favourite. However for this match, there actually doesn’t appear to be a cause Nadal doesn’t e-book his spot within the closing on Sunday and turns into one step nearer to profitable his tenth title on the Italian Open.

The Choose: Nadal (-1250) OR Nadal 2-0 (-286)

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