Rock Your World Now a Prime 3 Kentucky Derby Favourite at +600 After Profitable Santa Anita Derby
Jockey Luis Saez rides Important High quality to win the Breeders’ Cup Juvenile horse race at Keeneland Race Course, Friday, Nov. 6, 2020, in Lexington, Ky. (AP Picture/Michael Conroy)
- The 2021 Kentucky Derby is one month away on Might 5, 2021
- Important High quality and Live performance Tour are tepid co-favorites
- You possibly can lock in Derby Day worth by figuring out a powerful contender at a very good value now. See the percentages for all the present contenders under
The Run for the Roses is sort of right here. Whereas there may be almost a month earlier than horses break from the gate in Louisville for the Kentucky Derby, most main prep races have been run and the sphere is taking form.
Since possible favourite Life is Good was injured, Kentucky Derby odds have shifted. Betting odds point out the race is fairly wide-open.
Let’s look carefully on the newest costs to win the 2021 Kentucky Derby, do a little bit of handicapping, and see the place worth is current.
2021 Kentucky Derby Odds
|Important High quality||+350|
|Live performance Tour||+350|
|Rock Your World||+650|
|Scorching Rod Charlie||+800|
|Soup and Sandwich||+2000|
|Like The King||+2000|
Odds as of Apr 5 at William Hill
The primary Saturday in April is extremely important on the Street to the Kentucky Derby. Three main prep races had been run, and so they play an enormous function in how we view the highest contenders.
Important High quality was the heavy favourite, and although not overly spectacular, received the Blue Grass at Keeneland. In his first profession turf race, Rock Your World captured the Santa Anita Derby. In the meantime, in New York Bourbonic pulled a large upset within the Wooden Memorial.
Every of final weekend’s preps had been run at a mile and an eighth. After all, the Kentucky Derby is a mile-and-a-quarter. Climate in Might is variable at Churchill Downs.
Let’s look at a number of the prime choices, and contemplate in the event that they advantage a guess.
Favorites: Important High quality & Live performance Tour
The Breeders Cup Juvenile often crowns the two-year-old champion. Important High quality was one of the best of this crop in November, however that hasn’t usually held up six months later. Solely twice has the Juvenile winner additionally captured the Derby.
At five-for-five in his profession, Important High quality has seemingly taken steps ahead every time on the observe. His 2021 debut was a victory within the Southwest Stakes, and the Blue Grass makes him an inexpensive Derby chalk.
In a race with little tempo, Important High quality bought it performed in Lexington, and although he doesn’t blow your socks off, prime coach Brad Cox has a horse who has confirmed he can get to the end line first in a wide range of methods.
Live performance Tour is unbeaten too. Bob Baffert, who has dominated Triple Crown races for greater than a decade, didn’t debut this son of Kentucky Derby winner Road Sense till January. His second profession race was a stakes victory.
His solely race round two turns got here final day trip in March’s Insurgent Stakes.
Whereas it’s truthful to ask how robust his competitors has been, The Insurgent was a present of pressure. If he’s as dominant in Saturday’s Arkansas Derby, he’ll go to Kentucky because the possible favourite.
Prime Contenders: Rock Your World, Scorching Rod Charlie, Extremely Motivated
Rock Your World has taken an unorthodox path to Kentucky. His first two races had been on turf. At two-for-two in his profession, his filth debut got here on Saturday, and it was a powerful one within the Santa Anita Derby.
In a discipline that doesn’t appear to have a ton of early velocity, Rock Your World needs to be among the many entrance runners on Might 1. There have been loads of latest Derby winners who’ve led from close to the beginning all the best way to the wire.
Scorching Rod Charlie has taken a extra conventional path to Kentucky Derby contender. He wanted a while as a two-year-old to mature, completed final yr robust, and this yr has taken main steps.
After three unimpressive races, Scorching Rod Charlie broke his maiden in October. At 94/1 he was the runner-up within the Breeders Cup Juvenile. After a third-place efficiency in January’s Robert B. Lewis Stakes, he labored out nice earlier than March’s Louisiana Derby after which justified the hype.
Coach Doug O’Neill has received the Kentucky Derby twice and appears to have his horse working at his finest when it issues most. The development line factors up.
Extremely Motivated completed simply behind Important High quality within the Blue Grass, after a third-place effort in New York’s Gotham Stakes in March. His solely victory in opposition to winners got here in November’s Nyquist Stakes.
There’s a severe query about distance with Extremely Motivated. Does he need one other eighth of a mile? Coach Chad Brown is among the many finest within the sport.
Longshots: Bourbonic & Recognized Agenda
It was onerous to see Bourbonic’s Wooden Memorial effort coming.
The victory at 72/1 got here on the heels of a second-place efficiency at PARX, a second-tier observe, in a low-level allowance non-compulsory claiming race. With coach Todd Pletcher and an enormous effort final day trip, Bourbonic have to be thought-about.
Florida Derby winner Recognized Agenda has received back-to-back races since including blinkers and has seemed like a distinct horse for the reason that gear change.
Educated by Pletcher, Florida Panthers proprietor Vinnie Viola’s St. Elias Steady has had loads of good horses within the final a number of years. If Recognized Agenda takes one other step ahead, he’ll be within the combine in Louisville.
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Dave Friedman has coated skilled and school sports activities for twenty years. From ESPN to the Related Press, Regional Sports activities Networks, Metro Networks, and plenty of native retailers, he has written about and broadcast main and minor occasions all through the nation.