Ten Years of PokerNews WSOP Predictions


This yr will mark the tenth event that PokerNews have revealed predictions forward of the World Collection of Poker. From humble beginnings, this annual custom not solely permits the writers, reporters and workers members the chance to pitt their wits in opposition to each other, however provides poker gamers and followers alike the prospect to identify the brand new sensation earlier than they’ve even set foot within the Rio All-Suites Lodge & On line casino.

To mark the event, and earlier than PokerNews releases its 2021 Predictions within the coming weeks, we have a look again at ten years of PokerNews WSOP predictions.

2010 – Ultimate Desk Predictions

The annual PokerNews predictions started in 2010, with the main focus solely on the Fundamental Occasion. Employees have been requested about who could be essentially the most energetic and tightest gamers on the desk, and to look into the crystal ball forward of that yr’s November 9.

Managing Editor Elaine Chaivarlis was the one participant to accurately tip Jonathan Duhamel because the winner. In truth, she accurately predicted the eventual high three, with Duhamel beating John Racener into second place and Joseph Cheong coming third.

Jonathan Duhamel WSOP Main Event

2011 – Fundamental Occasion Predictions

The next yr, the predictions have been revealed previous to the WSOP beginning, and included guesses from all contributors about how large that yr’s Fundamental Occasion has been. This has been held yearly since, other than 2013, with Chad Holloway coming closest on three separate events.

Brett Collson’s 2014 guess was the closest anybody has ever gotten, simply 17 gamers off the precise determine for that yr. That was certainly one of solely two years the place the closest guess was over the precise quantity. One other oddity is {that a} guess of 6,700 has gained on three separate event (2012, 2014, 2016).

12 months Employees Guess Precise Area Distinction
2011 Chad Holloway 5001 6865 -1864
2012 Chad Holloway 6700 6598 102
2013 Not held      
2014 Brett Collson 6700 6683 17
2015 Chad Holloway 6400 6420 -20
2016 Frank Op de Woerd 6700 6737 -37
2017 Martin Harris 7013 7221 -208
2018 Will Shillibier 7712 7874 -162
2019 Yori Epskamp 8286 8569 -283

What number of entries will the 2021 WSOP Fundamental Occasion? We do not have lengthy to attend to search out out!

2012 – White Magic

Phil Hellmuth has repeatedly cropped up within the PokerNews WSOP predictions, and in 2012 the query of whether or not Hellmuth may win his twelfth bracelet after three runner-up finishes in 2011.

4 contributors (Brett Collson, Danielle Barille, Kristy Arnett and Donnie Peters) all stated no, with simply two (Sarah Herring and Chad Holloway) pondering that Hellmuth may get it accomplished. Wealthy Ryan additionally stated sure, however with the caveat that he would win it in a Maintain’em occasion. Shut, however no cigar. Hellmuth took down the $2,500 Seven Card Razz for his twelfth bracelet.

However he wasn’t accomplished there…

Phil Hellmuth WSOP

2014 – Schemion Slumps

In 2014, Ole Schemion was a rising star. After a win on the EPT San Remo Excessive Curler, two last tables on the 2014 PCA and a last desk at EPT Prague the yr earlier than he was on the peak of his sport.

Consequently, 5 gamers picked Schemion as their greatest WSOP newcomer. So what occurred?

Properly, Schemion did not money in a single WSOP occasion. In truth, he would not money in a WSOP Occasion in Las Vegas till three years later! Nevertheless, 2014 wasn’t all dangerous for the German, as he did handle to win over $1 million in an Aria $100,000 Tremendous Excessive Curler.

Ole Schemion

2015 – The Colossus Predictions

With the Colossus becoming a member of the WSOP schedule in 2015, there was a particular one-off prediction for a way large the inaugural match could be.

On the time, the match was the bottom buy-in bracelet occasion on the WSOP since 1980, costing simply $565 to enter. It was gained by Twine Garcia for $638,880 after topping a subject of twenty-two,374 entries. So who was closest?

Solely Editor-in-Chief Donnie Peters and Editor Frank Op de Woerd thought the occasion would surpass 20,000 entries, with Op de Woerd simply 374 entries out along with his guess of twenty-two,374.

2016 – Dodging a Bullet and the Return of Ferguson

One other recurring query is which big-name professional would be the largest disappointment of that yr’s WSOP. Donnie Peters had tipped Jason Mercier for this query in 2015, just for the American to make two last tables, money for $1.3 million and win a bracelet. In 2016, he opted to not decide Mercier saying “I will not be making that mistake once more.”

It was an excellent determination, as Mercier added two extra bracelets to his assortment in addition to profitable the 2015 WSOP Participant of the 12 months title.

One other one-off query was whether or not Chris Ferguson or Howard Lederer would return to the WSOP felt. There was loads of sturdy emotions on show, with many doubting that Ferguson would ever return. However return he did, grabbing ten cashes on the 2016 WSOP and happening to win the WSOP Participant of the 12 months a yr later.

Chris Ferguson

2017 – One 12 months Out

One other favourite of the panellists is the query of guessing the winner of the $50,000 Poker Gamers Championship. Having already gained the occasion twice in 2010 and 2012, Michael Mizrachi is all the time a well-liked alternative. In 2017, Chief Artistic Officer Matthew Parvis predicted that Mizrachi would win the occasion for an unprecedented third time.

“He appears to have some form of magic with regards to this occasion,” stated Parvis on the time. Mizrachi did not win in 2017, however he would win a 3rd PPC title in 2018. So shut…

WSOP Legend: 3-Time Poker Gamers Championship Winner Michael Mizrachi

2018 – 12 months of A number of Bracelet Winners

Each WSOP appears to be “The 12 months of X,” and our contributors by no means fail to give you humorous and entertaining concepts. We have had visitors of “12 months of the Fistfight”, “12 months of the On-line Qualifier” and “12 months of Ze Germans.”

Martin Harris has twice predicted it to be the “12 months of A number of Bracelet Winners” in 2016 and 2018. In 2016 there have been three, however in 2018 there have been six(!) with three in Vegas alone. He should know one thing the others do not.

2019 – Predictions Getting Nearer

It is laborious to inform whether or not the predictions of the PokerNews workers have gotten higher over time, but when 2019 was something to go by then maybe we’re enhancing ever so barely.

Mo Nuwwarah predicted Dario Sammartino to win a bracelet, and though the Italian did not handle to get his hand on one, he did handle to make three last tables and end second within the 2019 WSOP Fundamental Occasion. Nuwwarah additionally predicted Mizrachi to win his fifth bracelet of the last decade, which he did within the$1,500 Seven Card Stud Hello-Lo 8 or Higher.

Nevertheless, it wasn’t simply Nuwwarah, as Aaron McBride picked a sure Danny Tang to win a bracelet. He reduce it wonderful although, profitable the final occasion of the Collection in Occasion #90: $50,000 Ultimate Fifty Excessive Curler No Restrict Maintain’em.

Danny Tang

Bonus – Final 12 months on the Rio

It is one of many longest working jokes in poker, that this yr would be the final time the WSOP is held on the Rio All-Suites Lodge & On line casino?

Do not consider us? Properly in 2010, Elaine Chaivarlis stated she thought it will be the final yr that the WSOP Fundamental Occasion Ultimate Desk could be held on the venue. Quick-forward to 2019, and Valerie Cross was predicting “loads of sarcastic farewells to the Rio on Twitter.”

It will be again for 2021, however will this yr be the final on the Rio?

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