Tour de France Stage 5 Odds, Picks and Predictions

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Mark Cavendish celebrating a stage win

Britain’s Mark Cavendish celebrates as he crosses the end line to win the fourth stage of the Tour de France biking race over 150.4 kilometers (93.5 miles) with begin in Redon and end in Fougeres, France, Tuesday, June 29, 2021. (AP Photograph/Daniel Cole, Pool)

  • Stage 5 of the Tour de France (Wednesday, June 30) options an Particular person Time Trial
  • The 27.2 kilometres on the outskirts of Brittany are largely flat
  • Who will win the ITT, and the place is betting worth current?

When this yr’s Tour de France route was introduced, there was good cause to imagine Stage 5, an Particular person Time Trial, could be the primary main check to find out which GC contenders may separate themselves. Whereas so much has occurred within the first 4 days, Wednesday will certainly be a barometer for the cream of the crop.

The GC race may see main motion on Stage 5 and deserves loads of consideration, however time-trial specialists needs to be checked out very significantly in handicapping the sphere.

The ITT will get going early (6:15 am ET) and the undulating-to-flat route from Changé to Laval is fairly technical. For what it’s price, van Aert gained the time trial this yr throughout Tirreno-Adriatico; on the Tour de Suisse, Stefan Küng took the ITT; and Stefan Bissegger obtained the job performed in Paris-Good.

Let’s assessment Wednesday’s prime choices and contemplate the place betting worth is current.

Tour de France Stage 5 Odds

Rider Odds to Win Stage at DraftKings Prime-3 End Odds
Wout Van Aert +200 -225
Stefan Bissegger +250 -200
Stefan Kung +400 -134
Kasper Asgreen +550 +125
Soren Kragh Andersen +1600 +350
Mikkel Bjerg +1600 +350
Primoz Roglic +1600 +450
Brandon McNulty +2200 +500
Geraint Thomas +2200 +550
Victor Campenaerts +3300 +750
Tadej Pogacar +3300 +750
Julian Alaphilippe +4000 +900

Odds as of June twenty ninth

A few nice tales and a number of other main crashes have highlighted the primary 4 days of racing.

On Stage 2, racing in his first grand tour, Mathieu van der Poel, the grandson of biking legend Raymond Poulidor, gained. Then on Tuesday Mark Cavendish, a 31-time stage winner sprinted to victory, his first on the Tour since 2016.

In the meantime final yr’s winner Tadej Pogačar, and runner up Primož Roglič each went down throughout Stage 3. They have been joined within the carnage by former champion Geraint Thomas hitting the deck. Whereas Pogačar appears to be in first rate form, Roglic, who additionally misplaced a key help rider to harm, just isn’t in an awesome place. Thomas appears to have ceded management of Staff Ineos to Richard Carapaz. Prime sprinter Caleb Ewan crashed on Monday and was compelled to desert the race.

Cavendish’s win, for the primary time on this yr’s race, didn’t come on a day with any main drama. There was no change within the total standings. On the prime of the leaderboard is van der Poel. He has an eight second edge over Stage 1 winner Julian Alaphilippe. Carapaz and van Aert are 31 seconds behind the chief. Wilco Kelderman is in fifth place, 38 seconds behind the tempo. Pogacar is a tick behind Kelderman. Thomas is 67 seconds again of van der Poel, in 18th place. Roglic enters the time trial in twentieth place, one minute and thirty 5 seconds behind.

Let’s take a look at some prime riders for Stage 5.

Favorites

Final yr Van Aert gained two levels on the Tour, and he’s having a wonderful 2021.

The 26-year-old native of Belgium took the Highway Race Nationwide Title this yr after profitable Gent–Wevelgem and the Amstel Gold Race. He gained two levels, together with the ITT, and completed second total in March’s Tirreno–Adriatico.

That is the primary Grand Tour for Bissegger. This yr he gained the factors title and took a stage on the Tour de Suisse.

On the age of 23, Bissegger is a veteran of particular person pursuit. He profiles as an ITT specialist.

Contenders

Kung additionally has had success in particular person pursuit, and was part of a Staff Time Trial victory on the Tour de France in 2018.

Kung is having a wonderful yr. After profitable the ITT on the Tour de Suisse, he additionally pocketed the Volta a la Comunitat Valenciana, profitable the time trial within the course of, and triumphed on the Swiss Nationwide Highway Championship.

Kasper Asgreen gained the Tour of Flanders this yr and has taken a few time trials in 2021.

Beating van der Poel in Flanders is an actual assertion, and Asgreen then gained the Nationwide Highway Championships in Denmark.

Longshots

Over time prime GC riders have routinely gained time trials. Roglic and Thomas knew earlier than the race started that they would want to do injury to the remainder of the highest contenders on the ITT’s. After struggling setbacks over the primary 4 days, the time is now to make a transfer.

It appeared like final yr’s Tour de France was all however determined when Roglic and Pogacar arrived on the Stage 20 ITT. It was not your regular path, and the outcome was gorgeous.

Certain, the terrain is way completely different, and there are many mountains to determine the GC nonetheless to come back, however what if Pogacar makes an announcement now like he did on the finish of final yr’s occasion? It might change the complexion of the race.

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