Tour de France Stage 7 Odds, Picks and Predictions

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Mathieu Van Der Poel riding solo in the Yellow Jersey

Netherland’s Mathieu Van Der Poel, sporting the general chief’s yellow jersey, competes through the fifth stage of the Tour de France biking race, a person time-trial over 27.2 kilometers (16.9 miles) with begin in Change and end in Laval Espace Mayenne, France, Wednesday, June 30, 2021. (AP Picture/Daniel Cole)

  • Stage 7 of the 2021 Tour de France (Friday, July 2) is the longest day of the race in twenty years
  • The monster 250-kilometer trek from Vierzon to Le Creusot is slightly bit tough to characterize
  • Ought to bettors take into account attackers, puncheurs, or climbers?

Saturday and Sunday, the Tour de France will function traditional mountain levels the place GC riders are poised to duke it out. Friday’s Stage 7 doesn’t precisely ease the race into the intense climbing.

Whereas there aren’t any categorized climbs over the primary half of the 250 kilometers, there are 5 within the last 80 kilometers. The size of the race, the longest on the Tour in 20 years, gives alternative for a lot of varieties of riders. Issues get going early (5:15 am ET) on a day which absolutely will see a breakaway, assaults, counters, and who is aware of what else.

Oddsmakers favor Yellow Jersey-holder Mathieu van der Poel (+600) on Friday, however should you can decide the winner, a sq. worth will include it. Let’s have a look at the up to date odds and take into account some contenders.

Tour de France Stage 7 Odds

Rider Odds to Win Stage at DraftKings
Mathieu van der Poel +600
Julian Alaphilippe +1200
Magnus Cort Nielsen +1600
Michael Matthews +1600
Wout Van Aert +1600
Sonny Colbrelli +1800
Peter Sagan +1800
Alex Aranburu +2200
Omar Fraile +2200
Thomas De Gendt +2500
Matej Mohoric +2500
Soren Kragh Andersen +3300
Kasper Asgreen +3300
Benoit Cosnefroy +3300
Michael Valgren +3300

Odds as of July 1st.

The extra issues change, the extra they continue to be the identical. On the age of 36, and having missed the Tour de France every of the final two years, Mark Cavendish gained Thursday’s dash end, his thirty second profession stage victory.

Cavendish, solely within the race this yr due to an damage to Sam Bennett, gained his second bunch dash within the final three days. The victory is his fiftieth on a Grand Tour. Jasper Philipsen completed second, and Nacer Bouhanni was third.

The Stage 6 dash, with a marathon approaching Friday, and main climbing this weekend, allowed GC riders to take it simple. There was no main motion within the standings.

The chief continues to be van der Poel. He holds an eight second edge over defending champion Tadej Pogacar. Wout van Aert is in third place, 30 seconds behind. Julian Alaphilippe is one other 18 seconds again. Three riders price keeping track of are Richard Carapaz who’s 1:44 again, Primoz Roglic, trailing van der Poel by 1:48, and Geraint Thomas 1:54 off the tempo.

Stage 7 could possibly be selected the climb of Sign d’Uchon with about 18 km left. It’s a very unorthodox uphill that lasts 5.7 km and options a median gradient of 5.7%. What makes it so uncommon is a major drop with about two km left within the climb, after which gradients in double-digits together with 13.1% for the ultimate 700 metres.

Friday’s course has plenty of inflection factors. A tactical and technical trip will probably be wanted to win. So who’re the highest choices?

The Favourite

One huge motive van der Poel stays within the lead is his versatility. His skill as a puncheur is how he gained Stage 2, however his sprinting expertise enable him to be close to the entrance throughout bunch days. Whereas he shouldn’t be superior within the mountains, it’s anticipated he’ll maintain his personal. On a stage with a little bit of every part, a rider with variable expertise is helpful.

Although that is the primary Grand Tour for van der Poel, his outcomes haven’t been surprising. He has been terrific in most every part he has tried, profitable Strade Bianche this yr whereas ending second on the Tour of Flanders.

Contenders

Alaphilippe has a really comparable model to van der Poel. He gained Stage 1, and by no means appears out of kinds no matter what kind after all is positioned in entrance of him.

As a result of van der Poel is new to the Tour, and main, he’s the brilliant shiny object getting a ton of consideration. Alaphilippe was in that spot final yr, and has largely matched van der Poel step-by-step this yr. On a large open day, the six time stage winner looks like good worth.

It’s a little bit tough to measure what’s going on with Jumbo-Visma proper now. Primoz Roglic has struggled, however he’s clearly nonetheless a viable GC contender because the mountains strategy. In the meantime, Wout van Aert appears to be like robust, and has circled this stage.

An concerned, lengthy stage ought to match van Aert. He has three profession Tour stage victories, and simply took the Belgian Nationwide Cyclo-cross Championships.

Longshot

As if the Tour hasn’t been utterly taken over by Slovenians, wouldn’t or not it’s one thing if Matej Mohoric triumphed on Friday? Not almost as properly often known as Pogačar and Roglic, Mohoric has stage victories on the Giro and Vuelta.

Mohoric has a historical past of profitable in breakaways, and it isn’t wild to assume the GC might let him go. After a nasty crash on the Giro, he gained his nation’s Street Race Championship.

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